Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pachuca win with a probability of 51.86%. A win for Club Leon had a probability of 24.85% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pachuca win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.36%) and 2-0 (8.34%). The likeliest Club Leon win was 1-2 (6.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.89%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pachuca would win this match.