Ligue 1 Playoffs | Finals | 1st Leg
May 30, 2024 at 7.30pm UK
Stade Geoffroy-Guichard
St Etienne2 - 1Metz
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: St Etienne 2-0 Rodez AF
Friday, May 24 at 7.30pm in Ligue 2
Friday, May 24 at 7.30pm in Ligue 2
We said: Saint-Etienne 1-1 Metz
Defensively dubious but boasting one of French football's most potent strikers, Metz can hold out for a score draw on away soil. Saint-Etienne have not been convincing in recent weeks, so they may be content to simply stay in the tie ahead of Sunday's return. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saint-Etienne win with a probability of 61.67%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Metz had a probability of 16.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Saint-Etienne win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.66%) and 2-1 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.46%), while for a Metz win it was 0-1 (5.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Saint-Etienne would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Saint-Etienne | Draw | Metz |
| 61.67% | 22.03% | 16.3% |
| Both teams to score 47.94% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
