Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Lens 1-1 Le Havre
Saturday, April 6 at 4pm in Ligue 1
Saturday, April 6 at 4pm in Ligue 1
We said: Metz 0-1 Lens
Both teams have a lot to play for, so we expect to see a tight defensive showdown, which should favour the visitors, who have only gone pointless twice this year in domestic fixtures decided by a goal or fewer. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 48.86%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Metz had a probability of 24.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.55%) and 1-2 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.46%), while for a Metz win it was 1-0 (8.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Metz | Draw | Lens |
24.63% ( 0) | 26.51% | 48.86% |
| Both teams to score 47.09% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.26% | 56.74% ( 0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.31% | 77.69% ( 0) |
| Metz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.38% ( 0) | 38.62% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 24.64% | 75.36% ( 0) |
| Lens Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.72% | 23.28% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 42.78% | 57.22% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
Metz 24.63%
Lens 48.86%
Draw 26.5%
| Metz | Draw | Lens |
| 1-0 @ 8.56% ( 0) 2-1 @ 5.93% 2-0 @ 4.07% 3-1 @ 1.88% 3-2 @ 1.37% 3-0 @ 1.29% Other @ 1.53% Total : 24.63% | 1-1 @ 12.46% 0-0 @ 8.99% 2-2 @ 4.32% Other @ 0.73% Total : 26.5% | 0-1 @ 13.1% 0-2 @ 9.55% 1-2 @ 9.09% 0-3 @ 4.64% 1-3 @ 4.41% 2-3 @ 2.1% 0-4 @ 1.69% 1-4 @ 1.61% Other @ 2.67% Total : 48.86% |
How you voted: Metz vs Lens
Metz
22.5%Draw
12.5%Lens
65.0%40
Head to Head
Sep 16, 2023 8pm
Mar 13, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 28
Metz
0-0
Lens
Oct 24, 2021 2pm
Gameweek 11
Lens
4-1
Metz
Dec 19, 2020 4pm
Form Guide
