MX23RW : Thursday, January 30 12:12:55| >> :300:86500:86500:
Angers
AJ Auxerre
Brest logo
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lyon
Marseille
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Toulouse
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 14
Nov 6, 2022 at 2pm UK
Stadium Municipal
Monaco

Toulouse
0 - 2
Monaco

FT(HT: 0-0)
Golovin (46'), Embolo (60')
Akliouche (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Toulouse and Monaco, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lens 3-0 Toulouse
Friday, October 28 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Monaco 4-1 Red Star
Thursday, November 3 at 5.45pm in Europa League

We said: Toulouse 0-2 Monaco

Monaco are the third-highest scorers in Ligue 1 this season having scored 25 goals across their 13 matches. Toulouse have shipped seven goals in their last three outings, and we think Monaco will have too much firepower for them. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 39.85%. A win for Toulouse had a probability of 36.48% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.97%) and 0-2 (5.61%). The likeliest Toulouse win was 2-1 (8.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.66%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Monaco in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Monaco.

Result
ToulouseDrawMonaco
36.48% (0.041999999999994 0.04) 23.67% (0.0070000000000014 0.01) 39.85% (-0.050000000000004 -0.05)
Both teams to score 62.65% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.7% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)39.3% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.37% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)61.63% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Toulouse Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.34% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)21.66% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.21% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)54.79% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Monaco Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.97% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)20.02% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.77% (-0.061 -0.06)52.23% (0.061 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Toulouse 36.48%
    Monaco 39.85%
    Draw 23.66%
ToulouseDrawMonaco
2-1 @ 8.16% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-0 @ 6.63% (0.012 0.01)
2-0 @ 5.08% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.16% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-2 @ 3.35%
3-0 @ 2.59% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.59% (0.002 0)
4-2 @ 1.28%
4-0 @ 0.99% (0.003 0)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 36.48%
1-1 @ 10.66%
2-2 @ 6.56% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-0 @ 4.34% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.79% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 23.66%
1-2 @ 8.58% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-1 @ 6.97% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 5.61% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
1-3 @ 4.6% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3.52% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-3 @ 3.01% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.85% (-0.006 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.42% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
0-4 @ 1.21% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 39.85%

How you voted: Toulouse vs Monaco

Toulouse
14.3%
Draw
22.4%
Monaco
63.3%
49
Head to Head
May 16, 2020 7pm
Dec 4, 2019 6pm
Toulouse
1-2
Monaco
Sanogo (40' pen.)
Ben Yedder (5' pen.), Martins (84')
Glik (39')
Feb 2, 2019 7pm
Monaco
2-1
Toulouse
Golovin (15'), Fabregas (62')
Ballo-Toure (9'), Jemerson (90')
Jullien (20')
Gradel (45'), Diakite (50'), Sylla (60')
Sep 15, 2018 7pm
Toulouse
1-1
Monaco
Leya Iseka (79')
Amian (38'), Gradel (73')
Tielemans (57')
Jemerson (28'), Henrichs (48'), Diop (81')
Feb 24, 2018 4pm
Toulouse
3-3
Monaco
Sangare (24'), Delort (78' pen.), Sanogo (87')
Delort (85')
Lopes (8', 47'), Jovetic (72')
Lemar (83'), Fabinho (90'), Jovetic (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG19145049173247
2Marseille19114440231737
3MonacoMonaco19104532221034
4Nice1996438251333
5Lille1988329191032
6Lyon198653023730
7Lens198652318530
8Brest199192931-228
9StrasbourgStrasbourg197663331227
10Toulouse197482021-125
11Auxerre196582529-423
12Reims195772527-222
13Angers196492128-722
14NantesNantes193972229-718
15Saint-EtienneSt Etienne1953111839-2118
16Rennes1952122630-417
17Montpellier HSCMontpellier1943122044-2415
18Le HavreLe Havre1941141438-2413


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