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Ligue 1
Brest logo
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 27
Mar 11, 2023 at 8pm UK
Stade Francis-Le Blé
PSG logo

Brest
1 - 2
PSG

Honorat (43')
Belkebla (86')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Soler (37'), Mbappe (90')
Mbappe (86')

The Match

Team News

Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Brest and Paris Saint-Germain.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Brest and Paris Saint-Germain, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole looks at how Paris Saint-Germain could line up for Saturday's Ligue 1 meeting with Brest.

Form, Standings, Stats

Brest

All competitions
Last Game: Strasbourg 0-1 Brest
Sunday, March 5 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Paris Saint-Germain

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Bayern 2-0 PSG
Wednesday, March 8 at 8pm in Champions League

We said: Brest 1-3 Paris Saint-Germain

 While the premature Champions League exit may well have a significant impact on PSG - more specifically, PSG's manager - this summer, the capital outfit do not have a history of letting European disappointment seep into domestic proceedings. PSG are unbeaten in their last five league matches immediately following their Champions League elimination, a run the capital club are expected to extend when they visit Brest, one of Ligue 1's worst home sides, this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 64.7%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for Brest had a probability of 16.96%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.18%) and 1-3 (7.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.93%), while for a Brest win it was 2-1 (4.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Paris Saint-Germain in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Paris Saint-Germain.

Result
BrestDrawParis Saint-Germain
16.96% (0.337 0.34) 18.33% (0.103 0.1) 64.7% (-0.438 -0.44)
Both teams to score 62.44% (0.381 0.38)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.98% (0.152 0.15)31.01% (-0.15 -0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
47.59% (0.18 0.18)52.4% (-0.176 -0.18)
Brest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.69% (0.464 0.46)31.31% (-0.461 -0.46)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.33% (0.535 0.53)67.66% (-0.533 -0.53)
Paris Saint-Germain Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.9% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)9.1% (0.06 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
69.09% (-0.13800000000001 -0.14)30.9% (0.141 0.14)
Score Analysis
    Brest 16.96%
    Paris Saint-Germain 64.7%
    Draw 18.33%
BrestDrawParis Saint-Germain
2-1 @ 4.6% (0.067 0.07)
1-0 @ 3.31% (0.015 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.14% (0.052 0.05)
2-0 @ 1.92% (0.032 0.03)
3-1 @ 1.78% (0.048 0.05)
Other @ 3.21%
Total : 16.96%
1-1 @ 7.93% (0.014 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.52% (0.065 0.06)
0-0 @ 2.85% (-0.023 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.71% (0.037 0.04)
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 18.33%
1-2 @ 9.5% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-2 @ 8.18% (-0.112 -0.11)
1-3 @ 7.59% (-0.027 -0.03)
0-1 @ 6.83% (-0.075 -0.08)
0-3 @ 6.54% (-0.108 -0.11)
1-4 @ 4.55% (-0.029 -0.03)
2-3 @ 4.41% (0.041 0.04)
0-4 @ 3.92% (-0.075 -0.08)
2-4 @ 2.64% (0.017 0.02)
1-5 @ 2.18% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-5 @ 1.88% (-0.041 -0.04)
2-5 @ 1.27% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-4 @ 1.02% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 4.18%
Total : 64.7%

How you voted: Brest vs PSG

Brest
9.4%
Draw
2.4%
Paris Saint-Germain
88.2%
127
Head to Head
Sep 10, 2022 4pm
PSG
1-0
Brest
Neymar (30')

Lees-Melou (25')
Jan 15, 2022 8pm
PSG
2-0
Brest
Mbappe (32'), Kehrer (53')
Herrera (24'), Mbappe (34'), Kimpembe (55'), Verratti (58'), Pereira (65')

Magnetti (34'), Agoume (45+1'), Chardonnet (61')
Aug 20, 2021 8pm
Brest
2-4
PSG
Honorat (42'), Mounie (85')
Brassier (52')
Herrera (23'), Mbappe (36'), Gueye (73'), Di Maria (90')
Verratti (54'), Mbappe (65')
May 23, 2021 8pm
Brest
0-2
PSG

Magnetti (35')
Faivre (37' og.), Mbappe (71')
Herrera (27'), Neymar (33')
Mar 6, 2021 8.10pm
Round of 32
Brest
0-3
PSG
Mbappe (9', 73'), Sarabia (44')
Paredes (27'), Herrera (69')
> Preview
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG16124044143040
2Marseille17113339201936
3MonacoMonaco1794428181031
4Nice1786335231230
5Lille1778226161029
6Lyon178452922728
7Lens177642116527
8Toulouse177371919024
9StrasbourgStrasbourg176563029123
10Auxerre176472426-222
11Brest177192630-422
12Reims175572325-220
13Angers175481927-819
14Rennes1752102325-217
15NantesNantes173772027-716
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne1651101535-2016
17Le HavreLe Havre1740131336-2312
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier1723121642-269
> Ligue 1 Full Table


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