Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brest win with a probability of 37.67%. A win for Troyes had a probability of 33.86% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brest win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.83%) and 0-2 (7.1%). The likeliest Troyes win was 1-0 (11.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Troyes | Draw | Brest |
33.86% ( -0.07) | 28.47% ( 0.09) | 37.67% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 46.28% ( -0.26) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
39.95% ( -0.32) | 60.05% ( 0.32) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
19.72% ( -0.24) | 80.28% ( 0.25) |
Troyes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.82% ( -0.21) | 33.18% ( 0.21) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.21% ( -0.24) | 69.79% ( 0.24) |
Brest Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.27% ( -0.17) | 30.73% ( 0.17) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.01% ( -0.2) | 66.99% ( 0.2) |
Score Analysis |
Troyes | Draw | Brest |
1-0 @ 11.24% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 7.32% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 6.2% ( 0) 3-1 @ 2.69% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 2.28% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.59% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.53% Total : 33.85% | 1-1 @ 13.27% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 10.19% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 4.32% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.68% Total : 28.46% | 0-1 @ 12.03% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 7.83% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 7.1% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 3.08% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 2.79% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.7% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 0.91% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.23% Total : 37.67% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 17 | 13 | 4 | 0 | 46 | 15 | 31 | 43 |
2 | Marseille | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 39 | 20 | 19 | 36 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 28 | 18 | 10 | 31 |
4 | Nice | 17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 35 | 23 | 12 | 30 |
5 | Lille | 17 | 7 | 8 | 2 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 29 |
6 | Lyon | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 29 | 22 | 7 | 28 |
7 | Lens | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 21 | 16 | 5 | 27 |
8 | Toulouse | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 24 |
9 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 30 | 29 | 1 | 23 |
10 | Auxerre | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 24 | 26 | -2 | 22 |
11 | Brest | 17 | 7 | 1 | 9 | 26 | 30 | -4 | 22 |
12 | Reims | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 20 |
13 | Angers | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 19 | 27 | -8 | 19 |
14 | Rennes | 17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 17 |
15 | NantesNantes | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 20 | 27 | -7 | 16 |
16 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 17 | 5 | 1 | 11 | 16 | 37 | -21 | 16 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 17 | 4 | 0 | 13 | 13 | 36 | -23 | 12 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 17 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 16 | 42 | -26 | 9 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |