Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toulouse win with a probability of 41.79%. A win for Brest had a probability of 33.91% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toulouse win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.04%) and 0-2 (6.34%). The likeliest Brest win was 2-1 (7.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.24%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Brest | Draw | Toulouse |
33.91% ( -0) | 24.3% ( 0.04) | 41.79% ( -0.03) |
Both teams to score 59.77% ( -0.13) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.16% ( -0.17) | 42.84% ( 0.18) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.76% ( -0.17) | 65.24% ( 0.18) |
Brest Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.32% ( -0.08) | 24.68% ( 0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.79% ( -0.12) | 59.21% ( 0.13) |
Toulouse Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.36% ( -0.08) | 20.65% ( 0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.79% ( -0.14) | 53.22% ( 0.14) |
Score Analysis |
Brest | Draw | Toulouse |
2-1 @ 7.87% 1-0 @ 7.13% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 4.99% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.67% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.9% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 2.33% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.28% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.01% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.74% Total : 33.91% | 1-1 @ 11.24% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 6.21% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 5.1% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 1.52% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.23% Total : 24.3% | 1-2 @ 8.87% ( -0) 0-1 @ 8.04% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 6.34% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 4.67% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 3.34% ( -0) 2-3 @ 3.27% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.84% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.32% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.29% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.82% Total : 41.79% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 34 | 22 | 10 | 2 | 81 | 33 | 48 | 76 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 34 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 68 | 42 | 26 | 67 |
3 | Brest | 34 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 53 | 34 | 19 | 61 |
4 | Lille | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 52 | 34 | 18 | 59 |
5 | Nice | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 40 | 29 | 11 | 55 |
6 | Lyon | 34 | 16 | 5 | 13 | 49 | 55 | -6 | 53 |
7 | Lens | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 45 | 37 | 8 | 51 |
8 | Marseille | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 52 | 41 | 11 | 50 |
9 | Reims | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 42 | 47 | -5 | 47 |
10 | Rennes | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 53 | 46 | 7 | 46 |
11 | Toulouse | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 42 | 46 | -4 | 43 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 43 | 48 | -5 | 41 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 38 | 50 | -12 | 39 |
14 | NantesNantes | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 30 | 55 | -25 | 33 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 32 |
16 | Metz | 34 | 8 | 5 | 21 | 35 | 58 | -23 | 29 |
17 | Lorient | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 43 | 66 | -23 | 29 |
R | Clermont | 34 | 5 | 10 | 19 | 26 | 60 | -34 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |