Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toulouse win with a probability of 41.79%. A win for Brest had a probability of 33.91% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toulouse win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.04%) and 0-2 (6.34%). The likeliest Brest win was 2-1 (7.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.24%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Brest | Draw | Toulouse |
33.91% ( -0) | 24.3% ( 0.04) | 41.79% ( -0.03) |
Both teams to score 59.77% ( -0.13) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.16% ( -0.17) | 42.84% ( 0.18) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.76% ( -0.17) | 65.24% ( 0.18) |
Brest Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.32% ( -0.08) | 24.68% ( 0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.79% ( -0.12) | 59.21% ( 0.13) |
Toulouse Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.36% ( -0.08) | 20.65% ( 0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.79% ( -0.14) | 53.22% ( 0.14) |
Score Analysis |
Brest | Draw | Toulouse |
2-1 @ 7.87% 1-0 @ 7.13% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 4.99% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.67% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.9% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 2.33% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.28% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.01% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.74% Total : 33.91% | 1-1 @ 11.24% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 6.21% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 5.1% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 1.52% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.23% Total : 24.3% | 1-2 @ 8.87% ( -0) 0-1 @ 8.04% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 6.34% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 4.67% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 3.34% ( -0) 2-3 @ 3.27% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.84% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.32% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.29% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.82% Total : 41.79% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 17 | 13 | 4 | 0 | 46 | 15 | 31 | 43 |
2 | Marseille | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 39 | 20 | 19 | 36 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 28 | 18 | 10 | 31 |
4 | Nice | 17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 35 | 23 | 12 | 30 |
5 | Lille | 17 | 7 | 8 | 2 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 29 |
6 | Lyon | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 29 | 22 | 7 | 28 |
7 | Lens | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 21 | 16 | 5 | 27 |
8 | Toulouse | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 24 |
9 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 30 | 29 | 1 | 23 |
10 | Auxerre | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 24 | 26 | -2 | 22 |
11 | Brest | 17 | 7 | 1 | 9 | 26 | 30 | -4 | 22 |
12 | Reims | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 20 |
13 | Angers | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 19 | 27 | -8 | 19 |
14 | Rennes | 17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 17 |
15 | NantesNantes | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 20 | 27 | -7 | 16 |
16 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 17 | 5 | 1 | 11 | 16 | 37 | -21 | 16 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 17 | 4 | 0 | 13 | 13 | 36 | -23 | 12 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 17 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 16 | 42 | -26 | 9 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |