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Angers
AJ Auxerre
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AC Ajaccio
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 20
Jan 29, 2023 at 4.05pm UK
Stade Francois Coty
Lyon

Ajaccio
0 - 2
Lyon


Gonzalez (28'), El Idrissy (53')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Lepenant (20'), Lacazette (71')
Lopes (53'), Kumbedi (56'), Tagliafico (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Ajaccio and Lyon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Toulouse 2-0 Ajaccio
Saturday, January 21 at 5pm in Coupe de France
Last Game: Chambery 0-3 Lyon
Saturday, January 21 at 2.30pm in Coupe de France

We said: Ajaccio 1-2 Lyon

Lyon will be desperate for three points to try to kick-start a stagnating season, but Ajaccio will be just as determined to move away from trouble. OL won in the reverse fixture back in August despite having keeper Anthony Lopes sent off in the first half. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 53.27%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Ajaccio had a probability of 21.93%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.1%) and 1-2 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.76%), while for an Ajaccio win it was 1-0 (7.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lyon would win this match.

Result
AjaccioDrawLyon
21.93% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03) 24.79% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02) 53.27% (0.047000000000004 0.05)
Both teams to score 49.03% (0.011000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.3% (0.032000000000004 0.03)52.69% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.67% (0.027999999999999 0.03)74.33% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Ajaccio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.09% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)38.91% (0.0089999999999932 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.36% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)75.64% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Lyon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.25% (0.028999999999996 0.03)19.74% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.22% (0.048999999999999 0.05)51.77% (-0.052 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Ajaccio 21.93%
    Lyon 53.26%
    Draw 24.79%
AjaccioDrawLyon
1-0 @ 7.25% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-1 @ 5.55% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-0 @ 3.42% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
3-1 @ 1.75% (-0.002 -0)
3-2 @ 1.42% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 1.08% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.46%
Total : 21.93%
1-1 @ 11.76% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.68% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.5%
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 24.79%
0-1 @ 12.46%
0-2 @ 10.1%
1-2 @ 9.54% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-3 @ 5.47% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
1-3 @ 5.16% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.44% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-4 @ 2.22% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-4 @ 2.09% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-4 @ 0.99% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 53.26%

How you voted: Ajaccio vs Lyon

Ajaccio
6.8%
Draw
6.8%
Lyon
86.4%
44
Head to Head
Aug 5, 2022 8pm
Lyon
2-1
Ajaccio
Tete (12'), Lacazette (21' pen.)
Lacazette (33')
Lopes (27')
Mangani (31' pen.)
Avinel (20'), Hamouma (33'), El Idrissy (34'), Diallo (41'), Spadanuda (90+2')
Hamouma (45+3')
Feb 16, 2014 1pm
Lyon
3-1
Ajaccio
Fofana (43'), Briand (68'), Gomis (90')
Ferri (72')
Oliech (81')
Perozo (29'), Tonucci (78')
Sep 25, 2013 6pm
Ajaccio
2-1
Lyon
Arrache (18'), Demba Camara (70')
Goncalves (10'), Arrache (19'), Lasne (53'), Demba Camara (92'), Belghazouani (94'), Grenier (94')
Malbranque (56')
Malbranque (41'), Lacazette (94')
Lacazette (95')
Feb 3, 2013 1pm
Ajaccio
3-1
Lyon
Belghazouani (57'), Mutu (65', 90' pen.)
Mutu (34'), Mostefa (66'), Oliech (89')
Lacazette (53')
Ghezzal (63'), Martial (90')
Lovren (90')
Sep 16, 2012 4pm
Lyon
2-0
Ajaccio
Lovren (25'), López (74')
Grenier (14')

Bouhours (13'), Mutu (69')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Buccaneers
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Chiefs
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG108202982126
2Marseille1062223121120
3MonacoMonaco10622157820
4Lille10532169718
5Nice104421991016
6Lyon104331715215
7Lens1035297214
8Reims104241615114
9StrasbourgStrasbourg103431919013
10Auxerre104151718-113
11Brest104151316-313
12Toulouse103341111012
13Rennes103251316-311
14NantesNantes102441214-210
15Angers102441116-510
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne103161024-1410
17Le HavreLe Havre10307820-129
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier10118830-224


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