Ligue 1 | Gameweek 19
Jan 14, 2023 at 8pm UK
Stade de Gerland
We said: Lyon 1-1 Strasbourg
On paper, Lyon should not have any trouble defeating Strasbourg, but outside of Lacazette, no one on their team has been consistent from one match to the next.
Racing looked more motivated versus Lens but overall have not shown that they can sustain early momentum throughout 90 minutes.
Read more.
Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 63.95% . A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Strasbourg had a probability of 16.31% .
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 2-0 with a probability of 10% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.9%) and 1-0 (9.29%) . The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.2%) , while for a Strasbourg win it was 1-2 (4.55%) . The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood .
Result Lyon Draw Strasbourg 63.95% ( 0.24) 19.74% ( -0.07) 16.31% ( -0.17)
Both teams to score 55.55% ( -0.15)
60.82% ( -0.01) 39.18% ( 0.01)
38.49% ( -0.01) 61.51% ( 0.01)
88.39% ( 0.06) 11.61% ( -0.06)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 63.4% ( 0.13) 36.6% ( -0.13)
62.84% ( -0.21) 37.16% ( 0.21)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 26.05% ( -0.21) 73.94% ( 0.21)
Lyon 63.95%
Strasbourg 16.31%
Draw 19.74%
Lyon Draw Strasbourg 2-0 @ 10% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 9.9% ( -0) 1-0 @ 9.29% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 7.18% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 7.11% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 3.87% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 3.83% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 3.52% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.89% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.67% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 1.65% ( 0.01) Other @ 4.05% Total : 63.95% 1-1 @ 9.2% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 4.9% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 4.31% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.16% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.17% Total : 19.74% 1-2 @ 4.55% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 4.27% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 2.11% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.62% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 1.5% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.26% Total : 16.31%
How you voted: Lyon vs Strasbourg
66
rhs 2.0
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