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Ligue 1
Nantes
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 15
Nov 13, 2022 at 2pm UK
La Beaujoire-Louis Fonteneau
AC Ajaccio

Nantes
2 - 2
Ajaccio

Blas (70'), Simon (89')
Blas (37'), Castelletto (45+1'), Girotto (62'), Kombouare (74')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Belaili (57' pen.), Hamouma (66')
Kone (35'), Nouri (45+1'), Gonzalez (51')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Nantes and Ajaccio, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Nantes

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Reims 1-0 Nantes
Sunday, November 6 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Ajaccio

All competitions
Last Game: Ajaccio 4-2 Strasbourg
Saturday, November 5 at 4pm in Ligue 1

We said: Nantes 2-1 Ajaccio

 Following their impressive win last weekend, we are expecting Ajaccio to come into this one with confidence and to at least get on the scoresheet in an important relegation battle. Nonetheless, given they have suffered just one defeat at home this season, Nantes should have too much for their newly-promoted visitors as they record just their third win of the season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nantes win with a probability of 39.61%. A win for Ajaccio had a probability of 32.22% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nantes win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.12%) and 2-0 (7.5%). The likeliest Ajaccio win was 0-1 (10.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.

Result
NantesDrawAjaccio
39.61% (0.018000000000001 0.02) 28.16% (-0.017999999999997 -0.02) 32.22%
Both teams to score 46.83% (0.050000000000004 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.77% (0.061999999999998 0.06)59.23% (-0.061 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.35% (0.047000000000001 0.05)79.65% (-0.044999999999987 -0.04)
Nantes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.83% (0.040999999999997 0.04)29.17% (-0.038999999999998 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.89% (0.049999999999997 0.05)65.11% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05)
Ajaccio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.11% (0.033000000000001 0.03)33.89% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.44% (0.036000000000001 0.04)70.56% (-0.034000000000006 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Nantes 39.61%
    Ajaccio 32.22%
    Draw 28.16%
NantesDrawAjaccio
1-0 @ 12.18% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.12% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.5% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 3.33% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.08% (0.004 0)
3-2 @ 1.8% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.03% (0.0029999999999999 0)
4-0 @ 0.95% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.61%
Total : 39.61%
1-1 @ 13.17% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 9.89% (-0.023000000000001 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.39% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 28.16%
0-1 @ 10.69% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
1-2 @ 7.13% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-2 @ 5.79% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 2.57% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 2.09% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-3 @ 1.58% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 32.22%

How you voted: Nantes vs Ajaccio

Nantes
76.6%
Draw
17.0%
Ajaccio
6.4%
47
Head to Head
Mar 8, 2014 7pm
Nantes
2-2
Ajaccio
Gakpe (8'), Djordjevic (75')
Mostefa (5'), Diarra (92')
Faty (45'), Goncalves (62'), Nadeau (77')
> Match Report
Oct 19, 2013 7pm
Ajaccio
0-1
Nantes

Cavalli (14'), Zubar (50')
Bedoya
Alhadhur (28'), Vizcarrondo (65')
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG1192033102329
2MonacoMonaco117221881023
3Marseille116232415920
4Lille115421811719
5Lyon115331815318
6Nice1145221111017
7Reims115241915417
8Lens11452129317
9Auxerre115152019116
10Toulouse114341311215
11StrasbourgStrasbourg113442022-213
12Brest114161419-513
13Rennes113261318-511
14NantesNantes112451417-310
15Angers112451320-710
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne113171025-1510
17Le HavreLe Havre11308823-159
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier112181131-207
> Ligue 1 Full Table


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