Ligue 1 | Gameweek 18
Jan 11, 2023 at 6pm UK
La Beaujoire-Louis Fonteneau
Nantes0 - 0Lyon
We said: Nantes 1-2 Lyon
Despite the difference in league positions, this feels like an evenly-matched encounter given Lyon's continued inconsistency. Nevertheless, we still feel that the visitors will do enough to come through this contest by the odd goal in three. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 45.75%. A win for Nantes had a probability of 29.97% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.87%) and 0-2 (7.25%). The likeliest Nantes win was 2-1 (7.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Nantes | Draw | Lyon |
29.97% ( -0.02) | 24.28% ( -0.01) | 45.75% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 58.09% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.72% ( 0.05) | 44.28% ( -0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.34% ( 0.05) | 66.65% ( -0.05) |
| Nantes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.16% ( 0.01) | 27.84% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 36.56% ( 0.01) | 63.44% ( -0.01) |
| Lyon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.5% ( 0.03) | 19.5% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 48.63% ( 0.06) | 51.37% ( -0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
Nantes 29.97%
Lyon 45.75%
Draw 24.27%
| Nantes | Draw | Lyon |
| 2-1 @ 7.26% ( -0) 1-0 @ 6.94% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 4.44% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 3.09% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.53% ( 0)3-0 @ 1.89% ( -0)4-1 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.83% Total : 29.97% | 1-1 @ 11.34% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.93% ( 0)0-0 @ 5.43% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.38% ( 0)Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.27% | 1-2 @ 9.28% ( 0) 0-1 @ 8.87% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 7.25% ( 0)1-3 @ 5.06% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 3.95% ( 0)2-3 @ 3.23% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 2.07% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.62% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.32% ( 0)Other @ 3.11% Total : 45.75% |
How you voted: Nantes vs Lyon
Nantes
19.8%Draw
15.8%Lyon
64.4%101
