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Angers
AJ Auxerre
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Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lyon
Marseille
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Lens logo
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 32
May 3, 2024 at 8pm UK
Stade Bollaert-Delelis
Lorient logo

Lens
2 - 0
Lorient

Wahi (57'), Costa (81')
Wahi (58')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Bakayoko (20'), Katseris (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Ligue 1 clash between Lens and Lorient, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Marseille 2-1 Lens
Sunday, April 28 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lorient 1-2 Toulouse
Sunday, April 28 at 2pm in Ligue 1

We said: Lens 2-0 Lorient

Neither side have been all that consistent of late, but Lorient have their share of glaring holes at the back when compared to Lens, and we believe the home side will be able to capitalise on that. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 63.21%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Lorient had a probability of 16.69%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.93%) and 1-0 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.39%), while for a Lorient win it was 1-2 (4.64%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Lens in this match.

Result
LensDrawLorient
63.21% (-0.339 -0.34) 20.09% (0.029999999999998 0.03) 16.69% (0.31 0.31)
Both teams to score 55.16% (0.598 0.6)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.9% (0.45 0.45)40.1% (-0.449 -0.45)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.53% (0.463 0.46)62.47% (-0.462 -0.46)
Lens Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.92% (0.043000000000006 0.04)12.08% (-0.040999999999999 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.38% (0.086999999999996 0.09)37.62% (-0.086000000000006 -0.09)
Lorient Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.74% (0.65199999999999 0.65)37.26% (-0.651 -0.65)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.95% (0.636 0.64)74.04% (-0.63499999999999 -0.63)
Score Analysis
    Lens 63.21%
    Lorient 16.69%
    Draw 20.09%
LensDrawLorient
2-0 @ 10.05% (-0.18 -0.18)
2-1 @ 9.93% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-0 @ 9.51% (-0.183 -0.18)
3-0 @ 7.08% (-0.113 -0.11)
3-1 @ 6.99% (0.013 0.01)
4-0 @ 3.74% (-0.054 -0.05)
4-1 @ 3.7% (0.013 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.45% (0.067 0.07)
4-2 @ 1.82% (0.038 0.04)
5-0 @ 1.58% (-0.02 -0.02)
5-1 @ 1.56% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 3.78%
Total : 63.21%
1-1 @ 9.39% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.9% (0.087000000000001 0.09)
0-0 @ 4.5% (-0.094 -0.09)
3-3 @ 1.14% (0.041 0.04)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 20.09%
1-2 @ 4.64% (0.074999999999999 0.07)
0-1 @ 4.44% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-2 @ 2.19% (0.032 0.03)
2-3 @ 1.61% (0.056 0.06)
1-3 @ 1.53% (0.051 0.05)
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 16.69%

How you voted: Lens vs Lorient

Lens
94.9%
Draw
2.5%
Lorient
2.5%
79
Head to Head
Nov 4, 2023 4pm
Gameweek 11
Lorient
0-0
Lens
Mvuka (40'), Mendy (90+1'), Toure (90+4')
Danso (48'), Samba (90+3'), Fulgini (90+6')
May 21, 2023 4.05pm
Gameweek 36
Lorient
1-3
Lens
Faivre (6')
Yongwa (71'), Kalulu (75')
Sotoca (20'), Thomasson (25'), Fofana (87')
Machado (39'), Medina (43')
Feb 9, 2023 8pm
Round of 16
Lorient
1-1
Lens
(Aggregate 1-1 | Lens win 4-2 on penalties)
Le Fee (84')
Fulgini (21')
Aug 31, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 5
Lens
5-2
Lorient
Sotoca (24', 77'), Said (28'), Abdul Samed (57'), Openda (86')
Gradit (63')
Moffi (41', 50')
Ouattara (58'), Abergel (60'), Moffi (64')
Feb 6, 2022 12pm
Gameweek 23
Lorient
2-0
Lens
Soumano (43'), Kone (76')

Wooh (45+1'), Haidara (79'), Frankowski (87')
Cahuzac (77')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG16124044143040
2Marseille1593332181430
3MonacoMonaco1693426161030
4Lille1576225151027
5Lyon157442720725
6Nice156632819924
7Lens156631914524
8Auxerre156362323021
9Toulouse156361717021
10Reims155552018220
11Brest156182427-319
12Rennes155282020017
13StrasbourgStrasbourg154562527-217
14NantesNantes153571724-714
15Angers153481426-1213
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne1541101234-2213
17Le HavreLe Havre1540111129-1812
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier1523101538-239


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