Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 52.79%. A win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 24.27% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.16%) and 2-0 (8.36%). The likeliest Montpellier HSC win was 1-2 (6.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Lens | Draw | Montpellier HSC |
52.79% ( 1.17) | 22.93% ( 0.06) | 24.27% ( -1.23) |
Both teams to score 57.77% ( -1.56) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.52% ( -1.46) | 42.48% ( 1.46) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.11% ( -1.47) | 64.88% ( 1.47) |
Lens Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.89% ( -0.11) | 16.11% ( 0.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.48% ( -0.21) | 45.52% ( 0.21) |
Montpellier HSC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.87% ( -1.76) | 31.13% ( 1.76) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.54% ( -2.11) | 67.46% ( 2.11) |
Score Analysis |
Lens | Draw | Montpellier HSC |
2-1 @ 9.75% ( 0.09) 1-0 @ 9.16% ( 0.55) 2-0 @ 8.36% ( 0.47) 3-1 @ 5.94% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 5.09% ( 0.27) 3-2 @ 3.46% ( -0.16) 4-1 @ 2.71% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.32% ( 0.11) 4-2 @ 1.58% ( -0.08) 5-1 @ 0.99% ( -0) Other @ 3.44% Total : 52.79% | 1-1 @ 10.68% ( 0.14) 2-2 @ 5.69% ( -0.23) 0-0 @ 5.02% ( 0.32) 3-3 @ 1.35% ( -0.13) Other @ 0.2% Total : 22.93% | 1-2 @ 6.24% ( -0.23) 0-1 @ 5.85% ( 0.1) 0-2 @ 3.42% ( -0.11) 1-3 @ 2.43% ( -0.22) 2-3 @ 2.21% ( -0.21) 0-3 @ 1.33% ( -0.11) Other @ 2.8% Total : 24.27% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 19 | 14 | 5 | 0 | 49 | 17 | 32 | 47 |
2 | Marseille | 19 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 40 | 23 | 17 | 37 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 32 | 22 | 10 | 34 |
4 | Nice | 19 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 38 | 25 | 13 | 33 |
5 | Lille | 19 | 8 | 8 | 3 | 29 | 19 | 10 | 32 |
6 | Lyon | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 30 | 23 | 7 | 30 |
7 | Lens | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 23 | 18 | 5 | 30 |
8 | Brest | 19 | 9 | 1 | 9 | 29 | 31 | -2 | 28 |
9 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 33 | 31 | 2 | 27 |
10 | Toulouse | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 25 |
11 | Auxerre | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 25 | 29 | -4 | 23 |
12 | Reims | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 25 | 27 | -2 | 22 |
13 | Angers | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 22 |
14 | NantesNantes | 19 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 22 | 29 | -7 | 18 |
15 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 19 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 18 | 39 | -21 | 18 |
16 | Rennes | 19 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 26 | 30 | -4 | 17 |
17 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 19 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 20 | 44 | -24 | 15 |
18 | Le HavreLe Havre | 19 | 4 | 1 | 14 | 14 | 38 | -24 | 13 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |