Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 53.09%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Bordeaux had a probability of 22.55%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.7%) and 2-1 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.58%), while for a Bordeaux win it was 0-1 (6.95%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Monaco would win this match.