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Ligue 1
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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 8
Oct 19, 2024 at 4pm UK
Stade Francis-Le Ble
Rennes

Brest
1 - 1
Rennes

Del Castillo (54' pen.)
Ajorque (62'), Ndiaye (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Jota (86')
Truffert (39'), Seidu (72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Brest and Rennes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Brest

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Brest 2-0 Le Havre
Sunday, October 6 at 4pm in Ligue 1

Rennes

All competitions
Last Game: Rennes 1-2 Monaco
Saturday, October 5 at 8pm in Ligue 1

We said: Brest 1-1 Rennes

 Rennes have lost all three away games so far this season, and Brest have won four in a row at home in all competitions, meaning the hosts will be favourites, but it should not be all doom and gloom for the visitors. Brest have a huge game against Leverkusen in midweek, and Rennes have scored in all seven games so far, so there are positives for them to cling onto, plus it is never wise to look at the form table when predicting the outcome of a derby. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brest win with a probability of 42.78%. A win for Rennes had a probability of 31.42% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brest win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.91%) and 2-0 (7.38%). The likeliest Rennes win was 0-1 (8.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
BrestDrawRennes
42.78% (-0.561 -0.56) 25.8% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01) 31.42% (0.569 0.57)
Both teams to score 53.74% (0.277 0.28)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.71% (0.242 0.24)50.29% (-0.243 -0.24)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.76% (0.214 0.21)72.24% (-0.214 -0.21)
Brest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.63% (-0.16500000000001 -0.17)23.37% (0.165 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.66% (-0.242 -0.24)57.34% (0.242 0.24)
Rennes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.13% (0.51000000000001 0.51)29.87% (-0.51 -0.51)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.04% (0.611 0.61)65.96% (-0.61199999999999 -0.61)
Score Analysis
    Brest 42.77%
    Rennes 31.42%
    Draw 25.8%
BrestDrawRennes
1-0 @ 10.14% (-0.15 -0.15)
2-1 @ 8.91% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
2-0 @ 7.38% (-0.146 -0.15)
3-1 @ 4.32% (-0.046 -0.05)
3-0 @ 3.58% (-0.088 -0.09)
3-2 @ 2.61% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.57% (-0.024 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.3% (-0.039 -0.04)
4-2 @ 0.95% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 42.77%
1-1 @ 12.26%
0-0 @ 6.98% (-0.069 -0.07)
2-2 @ 5.39% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
3-3 @ 1.05% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.8%
0-1 @ 8.43% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
1-2 @ 7.41% (0.1 0.1)
0-2 @ 5.1% (0.093 0.09)
1-3 @ 2.98% (0.082 0.08)
2-3 @ 2.17% (0.049 0.05)
0-3 @ 2.05% (0.065 0.07)
1-4 @ 0.9% (0.037 0.04)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 31.42%

How you voted: Brest vs Rennes

Brest
64.8%
Draw
33.3%
Rennes
1.9%
54
Head to Head
Apr 28, 2024 4.05pm
Gameweek 31
Rennes
4-5
Brest
Kalimuendo (4', 9'), Theate (68'), Terrier (79')
Terrier (45+1'), Matusiwa (56'), Kalimuendo (80'), Le Fee (90+6')
Mounie (11'), Omari (48' og.), Satriano (54'), Camara (66'), Brassier (90+6')
Lees-Melou (75')
> Preview
Sep 2, 2023 4pm
Gameweek 4
Brest
0-0
Rennes
Del Castillo (27'), Martin (80'), Chardonnet (90+3')
Assignon (73')
> Preview
Jun 3, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 38
Brest
1-2
Rennes
Belkebla (36' pen.)
Magnetti (42'), Lees-Melou (45+2'), Lemarechal (90+4')
Bourigeaud (13', 45+4')
Gouiri (42'), Meling (83'), Bourigeaud (85'), Alemdar (90+4')
> Preview
Aug 31, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 5
Rennes
3-1
Brest
Rodon (53'), Terrier (89'), Doue (90+1')
Assignon (61'), Tait (86')
Honorat (57')
> Preview
Feb 6, 2022 4pm
Gameweek 23
Rennes
2-0
Brest
Laborde (20'), Terrier (90')
Martin (1'), Santamaria (31'), Terrier (59')

Del Castillo (52')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG1192033102329
2MonacoMonaco117221881023
3Marseille116232415920
4Lille115421811719
5Lyon115331815318
6Nice1145221111017
7Reims115241915417
8Lens11452129317
9Auxerre115152019116
10Toulouse114341311215
11StrasbourgStrasbourg113442022-213
12Brest114161419-513
13Rennes113261318-511
14NantesNantes112451417-310
15Angers112451320-710
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne113171025-1510
17Le HavreLe Havre11308823-159
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier112181131-207
> Ligue 1 Full Table


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