Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brest win with a probability of 46.81%. A win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 28.97% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brest win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.08%) and 0-2 (7.5%). The likeliest Montpellier HSC win was 2-1 (7.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.34%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Montpellier HSC | Draw | Brest |
28.97% ( 0.88) | 24.22% ( 0.26) | 46.81% ( -1.14) |
Both teams to score 57.65% ( -0.24) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.42% ( -0.6) | 44.58% ( 0.6) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.06% ( -0.59) | 66.95% ( 0.59) |
Montpellier HSC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.33% ( 0.32) | 28.67% ( -0.31) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.51% ( 0.39) | 64.49% ( -0.39) |
Brest Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.83% ( -0.69) | 19.18% ( 0.7) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.15% ( -1.16) | 50.85% ( 1.17) |
Score Analysis |
Montpellier HSC | Draw | Brest |
2-1 @ 7.09% ( 0.15) 1-0 @ 6.87% ( 0.24) 2-0 @ 4.29% ( 0.18) 3-1 @ 2.95% ( 0.09) 3-2 @ 2.44% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 1.79% ( 0.09) 4-1 @ 0.92% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.63% Total : 28.97% | 1-1 @ 11.34% ( 0.14) 2-2 @ 5.85% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.5% ( 0.14) 3-3 @ 1.34% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.22% | 1-2 @ 9.37% ( -0.09) 0-1 @ 9.08% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 7.5% ( -0.14) 1-3 @ 5.16% ( -0.17) 0-3 @ 4.13% ( -0.17) 2-3 @ 3.22% ( -0.07) 1-4 @ 2.13% ( -0.12) 0-4 @ 1.7% ( -0.11) 2-4 @ 1.33% ( -0.06) Other @ 3.2% Total : 46.81% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 11 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 33 | 10 | 23 | 29 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 8 | 10 | 23 |
3 | Marseille | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 24 | 15 | 9 | 20 |
4 | Lille | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 19 |
5 | Lyon | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 15 | 3 | 18 |
6 | Nice | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 17 |
7 | Reims | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 17 |
8 | Lens | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 17 |
9 | Auxerre | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 16 |
10 | Toulouse | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 15 |
11 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 13 |
12 | Brest | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 13 |
13 | Rennes | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 18 | -5 | 11 |
14 | NantesNantes | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 10 |
15 | Angers | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 10 |
16 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 10 | 25 | -15 | 10 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 11 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 8 | 23 | -15 | 9 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 11 | 31 | -20 | 7 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |