Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brest win with a probability of 49.27%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Strasbourg had a probability of 25.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brest win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.38%) and 2-0 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.08%), while for a Strasbourg win it was 0-1 (7.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
Result | ||
Brest | Draw | Strasbourg |
49.27% ( -0.37) | 25.41% ( 0.12) | 25.31% ( 0.24) |
Both teams to score 50.86% ( -0.15) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.88% ( -0.3) | 52.12% ( 0.3) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.16% ( -0.26) | 73.84% ( 0.26) |
Brest Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.83% ( -0.28) | 21.17% ( 0.28) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.96% ( -0.43) | 54.03% ( 0.43) |
Strasbourg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.52% ( 0.04) | 35.47% ( -0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.76% ( 0.04) | 72.23% ( -0.05) |
Score Analysis |
Brest | Draw | Strasbourg |
1-0 @ 11.65% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 9.38% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 9.05% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 4.86% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 4.68% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 2.52% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.89% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 1.82% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 0.98% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.44% Total : 49.26% | 1-1 @ 12.08% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 7.51% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 4.86% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.96% Total : 25.41% | 0-1 @ 7.78% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 6.26% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 4.03% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 2.16% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.68% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.39% ( 0.02) Other @ 2% Total : 25.31% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 31 | 20 | 10 | 1 | 76 | 29 | 47 | 70 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 32 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 62 | 42 | 20 | 61 |
3 | Brest | 32 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 49 | 33 | 16 | 57 |
4 | Lille | 31 | 15 | 10 | 6 | 45 | 27 | 18 | 55 |
5 | Nice | 31 | 14 | 9 | 8 | 36 | 25 | 11 | 51 |
6 | Lens | 32 | 14 | 7 | 11 | 42 | 34 | 8 | 49 |
7 | Rennes | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 51 | 43 | 8 | 45 |
8 | Marseille | 31 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 47 | 38 | 9 | 44 |
9 | Lyon | 31 | 13 | 5 | 13 | 42 | 51 | -9 | 44 |
10 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 32 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 41 | 44 | -3 | 40 |
11 | Toulouse | 32 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 39 | 42 | -3 | 40 |
12 | Reims | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 38 | 45 | -7 | 40 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 32 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 35 | 47 | -12 | 36 |
14 | NantesNantes | 32 | 9 | 6 | 17 | 29 | 49 | -20 | 33 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 32 | 7 | 11 | 14 | 33 | 42 | -9 | 32 |
16 | Metz | 32 | 8 | 5 | 19 | 34 | 54 | -20 | 29 |
17 | Lorient | 32 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 37 | 63 | -26 | 26 |
18 | Clermont | 32 | 5 | 10 | 17 | 26 | 54 | -28 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |