Ligue 1 | Gameweek 10
Oct 29, 2023 at 12pm UK
Stade Francis-Le Ble
We said: Brest 1-3 Paris Saint-Germain
Brest have made the Stade Francis-Le Ble a fortress this season, but their unbeaten home record will certainly come under threat when the champions visit on Sunday.
Impressively, PSG have won each of their last 13 competitive meetings with Brest, and we think that they will prove too strong once again to claim maximum points.
Read more.
Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 55.53% . A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Brest had a probability of 21.93% .
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.87% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.69%) and 0-2 (9.05%) . The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.57%) , while for a Brest win it was 2-1 (5.77%) . The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood . Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.
Result Brest Draw Paris Saint-Germain 21.93% ( -0.28) 22.53% ( -0.05) 55.53% ( 0.32)
Both teams to score 56.14% ( -0.24)
56.75% ( -0.13) 43.25% ( 0.13)
34.35% ( -0.13) 65.65% ( 0.13)
66.4% ( -0.33) 33.6% ( 0.33)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 29.75% ( -0.36) 70.25% ( 0.36)
Paris Saint-Germain Goals
84.55% ( 0.06) 15.44% ( -0.06)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 55.71% ( 0.11) 44.29% ( -0.12)
Brest 21.93%
Paris Saint-Germain 55.53%
Draw 22.53%
Brest Draw Paris Saint-Germain 2-1 @ 5.77% ( -0.06) 1-0 @ 5.66% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 3.09% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 2.1% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 1.96% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 1.12% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.25% Total : 21.93% 1-1 @ 10.57% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.38% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 5.19% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.22% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.17% Total : 22.53% 1-2 @ 9.87% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 9.69% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 9.05% ( 0.09) 1-3 @ 6.15% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 5.64% ( 0.07) 2-3 @ 3.35% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 2.87% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 2.63% ( 0.04) 2-4 @ 1.57% ( -0) 1-5 @ 1.07% ( 0.01) 0-5 @ 0.98% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.65% Total : 55.53%
How you voted: Brest vs PSG
Brest
Draw
Paris Saint-Germain
47
rhs 2.0
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