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Angers
AJ Auxerre
Brest logo
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lyon
Marseille
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Brest logo
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 10
Oct 29, 2023 at 12pm UK
Stade Francis-Le Ble
PSG logo

Brest
2 - 3
PSG

Mounie (43'), Le Douaron (52')
Roy (0'), Brassier (86'), Martin (87'), Bizot (88')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Zaire-Emery (16'), Mbappe (28', 89')
Hakimi (87'), Ruiz (88'), Mbappe (89'), Kolo (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Brest and Paris Saint-Germain, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lille 1-0 Brest
Sunday, October 22 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: PSG 3-0 AC Milan
Wednesday, October 25 at 8pm in Champions League

We said: Brest 1-3 Paris Saint-Germain

Brest have made the Stade Francis-Le Ble a fortress this season, but their unbeaten home record will certainly come under threat when the champions visit on Sunday. Impressively, PSG have won each of their last 13 competitive meetings with Brest, and we think that they will prove too strong once again to claim maximum points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 55.53%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Brest had a probability of 21.93%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.69%) and 0-2 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.57%), while for a Brest win it was 2-1 (5.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.

Result
BrestDrawParis Saint-Germain
21.93% (-0.28 -0.28) 22.53% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05) 55.53% (0.322 0.32)
Both teams to score 56.14% (-0.24 -0.24)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.75% (-0.134 -0.13)43.25% (0.131 0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.35% (-0.134 -0.13)65.65% (0.129 0.13)
Brest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.4% (-0.33200000000001 -0.33)33.6% (0.329 0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.75% (-0.361 -0.36)70.25% (0.357 0.36)
Paris Saint-Germain Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.55% (0.057999999999993 0.06)15.44% (-0.061 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.71% (0.113 0.11)44.29% (-0.116 -0.12)
Score Analysis
    Brest 21.93%
    Paris Saint-Germain 55.53%
    Draw 22.53%
BrestDrawParis Saint-Germain
2-1 @ 5.77% (-0.057 -0.06)
1-0 @ 5.66% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-0 @ 3.09% (-0.038 -0.04)
3-1 @ 2.1% (-0.04 -0.04)
3-2 @ 1.96% (-0.034 -0.03)
3-0 @ 1.12% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 21.93%
1-1 @ 10.57% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.38% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
0-0 @ 5.19% (0.03 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.22% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 22.53%
1-2 @ 9.87% (0.011000000000001 0.01)
0-1 @ 9.69% (0.077 0.08)
0-2 @ 9.05% (0.091000000000001 0.09)
1-3 @ 6.15% (0.02 0.02)
0-3 @ 5.64% (0.068 0.07)
2-3 @ 3.35% (-0.019 -0.02)
1-4 @ 2.87% (0.015 0.02)
0-4 @ 2.63% (0.038 0.04)
2-4 @ 1.57% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-5 @ 1.07% (0.008 0.01)
0-5 @ 0.98% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 55.53%

How you voted: Brest vs PSG

Brest
4.3%
Draw
12.8%
Paris Saint-Germain
83.0%
47
Head to Head
Mar 11, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 27
Brest
1-2
PSG
Honorat (43')
Soler (37'), Mbappe (90')
Sep 10, 2022 4pm
Gameweek 7
PSG
1-0
Brest
Neymar (30')
Jan 15, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 21
PSG
2-0
Brest
Mbappe (32'), Kehrer (53')
Herrera (24'), Mbappe (34'), Kimpembe (55'), Verratti (58'), Pereira (65')

Magnetti (34'), Agoume (45+1'), Chardonnet (61')
Aug 20, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 3
Brest
2-4
PSG
Honorat (42'), Mounie (85')
Brassier (52')
Herrera (23'), Mbappe (36'), Gueye (73'), Di Maria (90')
Verratti (54'), Mbappe (65')
May 23, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 38
Brest
0-2
PSG

Magnetti (35')
Faivre (37' og.), Mbappe (71')
Herrera (27'), Neymar (33')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG16124044143040
2Marseille1593332181430
3MonacoMonaco1693426161030
4Lille1576225151027
5Lyon157442720725
6Nice156632819924
7Lens156631914524
8Auxerre156362323021
9Toulouse156361717021
10Reims155552018220
11Brest156182427-319
12Rennes155282020017
13StrasbourgStrasbourg154562527-217
14NantesNantes153571724-714
15Angers153481426-1213
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne1541101234-2213
17Le HavreLe Havre1540111129-1812
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier1523101538-239


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