Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Clermont win with a probability of 43.93%. A win for Lorient had a probability of 29.79% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Clermont win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.93%) and 2-0 (7.91%). The likeliest Lorient win was 0-1 (8.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Clermont in this match.
Result | ||
Clermont | Draw | Lorient |
43.93% ( -0.08) | 26.28% ( 0.02) | 29.79% ( 0.06) |
Both teams to score 51.48% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.13% ( -0.03) | 52.87% ( 0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.52% ( -0.03) | 74.49% ( 0.03) |
Clermont Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.07% ( -0.05) | 23.93% ( 0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.85% ( -0.07) | 58.15% ( 0.07) |
Lorient Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.67% ( 0.03) | 32.33% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.16% ( 0.03) | 68.84% ( -0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Clermont | Draw | Lorient |
1-0 @ 11.06% 2-1 @ 8.93% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 7.91% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.26% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.77% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.4% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.52% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.35% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.72% Total : 43.93% | 1-1 @ 12.49% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.74% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.04% ( -0) 3-3 @ 0.91% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.27% | 0-1 @ 8.74% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 7.05% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 4.93% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.66% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.9% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.86% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.66% Total : 29.79% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 31 | 20 | 10 | 1 | 76 | 29 | 47 | 70 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 32 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 62 | 42 | 20 | 61 |
3 | Brest | 32 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 49 | 33 | 16 | 57 |
4 | Lille | 31 | 15 | 10 | 6 | 45 | 27 | 18 | 55 |
5 | Nice | 31 | 14 | 9 | 8 | 36 | 25 | 11 | 51 |
6 | Lens | 32 | 14 | 7 | 11 | 42 | 34 | 8 | 49 |
7 | Rennes | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 51 | 43 | 8 | 45 |
8 | Marseille | 31 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 47 | 38 | 9 | 44 |
9 | Lyon | 31 | 13 | 5 | 13 | 42 | 51 | -9 | 44 |
10 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 32 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 41 | 44 | -3 | 40 |
11 | Toulouse | 32 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 39 | 42 | -3 | 40 |
12 | Reims | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 38 | 45 | -7 | 40 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 32 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 35 | 47 | -12 | 36 |
14 | NantesNantes | 32 | 9 | 6 | 17 | 29 | 49 | -20 | 33 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 32 | 7 | 11 | 14 | 33 | 42 | -9 | 32 |
16 | Metz | 32 | 8 | 5 | 19 | 34 | 54 | -20 | 29 |
17 | Lorient | 32 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 37 | 63 | -26 | 26 |
18 | Clermont | 32 | 5 | 10 | 17 | 26 | 54 | -28 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |