Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nantes win with a probability of 41.52%. A win for Lorient had a probability of 31.87% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nantes win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.66%) and 2-0 (7.43%). The likeliest Lorient win was 0-1 (9.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.65%). The actual scoreline of 5-3 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nantes would win this match.
Result | ||
Nantes | Draw | Lorient |
41.52% ( 0.4) | 26.61% ( -0.02) | 31.87% ( -0.38) |
Both teams to score 51.33% ( -0.09) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.51% ( -0.05) | 53.49% ( 0.05) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.99% ( -0.04) | 75.01% ( 0.05) |
Nantes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.58% ( 0.18) | 25.42% ( -0.18) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.76% ( 0.25) | 60.24% ( -0.24) |
Lorient Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.82% ( -0.28) | 31.18% ( 0.29) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.49% ( -0.33) | 67.51% ( 0.34) |
Score Analysis |
Nantes | Draw | Lorient |
1-0 @ 10.85% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 8.66% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 7.43% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 3.96% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 3.39% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 2.31% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.35% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.16% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.4% Total : 41.51% | 1-1 @ 12.65% 0-0 @ 7.93% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.05% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.99% Total : 26.61% | 0-1 @ 9.24% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 7.37% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 5.38% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 2.86% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 2.09% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 1.96% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.96% Total : 31.87% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 19 | 14 | 5 | 0 | 49 | 17 | 32 | 47 |
2 | Marseille | 19 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 40 | 23 | 17 | 37 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 32 | 22 | 10 | 34 |
4 | Nice | 19 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 38 | 25 | 13 | 33 |
5 | Lille | 19 | 8 | 8 | 3 | 29 | 19 | 10 | 32 |
6 | Lyon | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 30 | 23 | 7 | 30 |
7 | Lens | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 23 | 18 | 5 | 30 |
8 | Brest | 19 | 9 | 1 | 9 | 29 | 31 | -2 | 28 |
9 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 33 | 31 | 2 | 27 |
10 | Toulouse | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 25 |
11 | Auxerre | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 25 | 29 | -4 | 23 |
12 | Reims | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 25 | 27 | -2 | 22 |
13 | Angers | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 22 |
14 | NantesNantes | 19 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 22 | 29 | -7 | 18 |
15 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 19 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 18 | 39 | -21 | 18 |
16 | Rennes | 19 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 26 | 30 | -4 | 17 |
17 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 19 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 20 | 44 | -24 | 15 |
18 | Le HavreLe Havre | 19 | 4 | 1 | 14 | 14 | 38 | -24 | 13 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |