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Ligue 1
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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 37
May 27, 2023 at 8pm UK
Stade Felix Bollaert
AC Ajaccio

Lens
3 - 0
Ajaccio

Machado (16'), Thomasson (22'), Openda (35' pen.)
Openda (57')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Strata (13'), Gonzalez (34')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Lens and Ajaccio, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lens

All competitions
Last Game: Lorient 1-3 Lens
Sunday, May 21 at 4.05pm in Ligue 1

Ajaccio

All competitions
Last Game: Ajaccio 0-5 Rennes
Sunday, May 21 at 12pm in Ligue 1

We said: Lens 4-0 Ajaccio

 With suspensions and injuries decimating their squad, Ajaccio need nothing short of a miracle to leave the Stade Bollaert-Delelis with anything to show for their efforts, and Haise's side will not be in any sort of merciful mood. While we have faith in Pantaloni's men to avoid a third successive 5-0 defeat, a Lens side who often score for fun on their own turf should confirm a second-placed finish in style, with a few goals along the way. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 79.39%. A draw had a probability of 14.2% and a win for Ajaccio had a probability of 6.42%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (12.17%) and 1-0 (11.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.67%), while for an Ajaccio win it was 0-1 (2.7%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lens would win this match.

Result
LensDrawAjaccio
79.39% (0.012 0.01) 14.19% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01) 6.42% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
Both teams to score 39.09% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.27% (0.007000000000005 0.01)41.73% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.87% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)64.13% (-0.0050000000000097 -0.01)
Lens Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.54% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)8.46% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
70.64% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)29.36% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
Ajaccio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
42.7% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)57.3% (0.011000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
10.79% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)89.21% (0.007000000000005 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Lens 79.38%
    Ajaccio 6.42%
    Draw 14.19%
LensDrawAjaccio
2-0 @ 14.78%
3-0 @ 12.17% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-0 @ 11.97%
2-1 @ 8.23% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
4-0 @ 7.51% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 6.78%
4-1 @ 4.19% (0.00099999999999945 0)
5-0 @ 3.71% (0.0019999999999998 0)
5-1 @ 2.07% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 1.89% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
6-0 @ 1.53% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.17%
Other @ 3.39%
Total : 79.38%
1-1 @ 6.67% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-0 @ 4.85% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-2 @ 2.29% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.38%
Total : 14.19%
0-1 @ 2.7% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-2 @ 1.86% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 1.86%
Total : 6.42%

How you voted: Lens vs Ajaccio

Lens
90.5%
Draw
0.0%
Ajaccio
9.5%
21
Head to Head
Aug 14, 2022 2pm
gameweek 2
Ajaccio
0-0
Lens

Gonzalez (35'), Mangani (37'), Bayala (42'), Marchetti (59'), El Idrissy (79')

Sotoca (75'), Danso (90+2')
May 1, 2020 7pm
gameweek 36
Lens
P-P
Ajaccio
Dec 14, 2019 3pm
gameweek 18
Ajaccio
1-2
Lens
Laci (12')
Coutadeur (21'), Avinel (84')
Sotoca (57', 71')
Gillet (27')
May 10, 2019 7.45pm
gameweek 37
Ajaccio
0-2
Lens

Coutadeur (67'), Hergault (70'), Boe-Kane (90')
Teka (10'), Bellegarde (76')
Mendy (17'), Mesloub (41')
May 9, 2019
1am
Ajaccio  
vs.
  Lens
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG1192033102329
2MonacoMonaco117221881023
3Marseille116232415920
4Lille115421811719
5Lyon115331815318
6Nice1145221111017
7Reims115241915417
8Lens11452129317
9Auxerre115152019116
10Toulouse114341311215
11StrasbourgStrasbourg113442022-213
12Brest114161419-513
13Rennes113261318-511
14NantesNantes112451417-310
15Angers112451320-710
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne113171025-1510
17Le HavreLe Havre11308823-159
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier112181131-207
> Ligue 1 Full Table


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