Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 42.47%. A win for Lens had a probability of 33.96% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.24%) and 2-0 (6.03%). The likeliest Lens win was 1-2 (7.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.63%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.
Result | ||
Paris Saint-Germain | Draw | Lens |
42.47% ( 0.01) | 23.57% | 33.96% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 62.48% ( -0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.69% ( -0.01) | 39.31% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.36% ( -0) | 61.64% ( 0.01) |
Paris Saint-Germain Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.13% ( -0) | 18.87% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.67% ( -0) | 50.33% |
Lens Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77% ( -0.01) | 22.99% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.2% ( -0.01) | 56.79% ( 0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Paris Saint-Germain | Draw | Lens |
2-1 @ 8.87% ( 0) 1-0 @ 7.24% ( 0) 2-0 @ 6.03% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.93% 3-2 @ 3.62% 3-0 @ 3.35% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.06% 4-2 @ 1.51% 4-0 @ 1.4% ( 0) Other @ 3.46% Total : 42.47% | 1-1 @ 10.63% 2-2 @ 6.52% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.34% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.78% ( -0) Other @ 0.3% Total : 23.56% | 1-2 @ 7.82% ( -0) 0-1 @ 6.38% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.69% 1-3 @ 3.83% ( -0) 2-3 @ 3.19% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.3% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.41% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.17% Other @ 3.18% Total : 33.96% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 17 | 13 | 4 | 0 | 46 | 15 | 31 | 43 |
2 | Marseille | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 39 | 20 | 19 | 36 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 28 | 18 | 10 | 31 |
4 | Nice | 17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 35 | 23 | 12 | 30 |
5 | Lille | 17 | 7 | 8 | 2 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 29 |
6 | Lyon | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 29 | 22 | 7 | 28 |
7 | Lens | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 21 | 16 | 5 | 27 |
8 | Toulouse | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 24 |
9 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 30 | 29 | 1 | 23 |
10 | Auxerre | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 24 | 26 | -2 | 22 |
11 | Brest | 17 | 7 | 1 | 9 | 26 | 30 | -4 | 22 |
12 | Reims | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 20 |
13 | Angers | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 19 | 27 | -8 | 19 |
14 | Rennes | 17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 17 |
15 | NantesNantes | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 20 | 27 | -7 | 16 |
16 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 17 | 5 | 1 | 11 | 16 | 37 | -21 | 16 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 17 | 4 | 0 | 13 | 13 | 36 | -23 | 12 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 17 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 16 | 42 | -26 | 9 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |