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Ligue 1
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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 14
Dec 2, 2023 at 4pm UK
Stade Bollaert-Delelis
Lyon

Lens
3 - 2
Lyon

Said (26'), Frankowski (52' pen., 74')
Machado (35'), Medina (41')
Sotoca (90')
FT(HT: 1-1)
O'Brien (15', 72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Lens and Lyon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lens

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Arsenal 6-0 Lens
Wednesday, November 29 at 8pm in Champions League

Lyon

All competitions
Last Game: Lyon 0-2 Lille
Sunday, November 26 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1

We said: Lens 1-0 Lyon

 As bad as it was for them at Arsenal this week, Lens have shown the ability to pick themselves up after a disappointing result, while their defensive shape has improved tremendously versus French opponents. There have been a few positive takeaways for Lyon in recent matches, but not enough for us to believe their attacking quality has improved, with Les Gones tied for the fewest goals scored in Ligue 1 to date (nine). Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 49.98%. A win for Lyon had a probability of 25.34% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.54%) and 2-0 (8.8%). The likeliest Lyon win was 0-1 (7.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.72%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lens would win this match.

Result
LensDrawLyon
49.98% (0.042000000000002 0.04) 24.68% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01) 25.34% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
Both teams to score 53.16% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.88% (0.0020000000000024 0)49.11% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.81% (0.0019999999999989 0)71.18% (-0.00099999999999056 -0)
Lens Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.33% (0.018000000000001 0.02)19.67% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.34% (0.027000000000001 0.03)51.65% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
Lyon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.17% (-0.026999999999987 -0.03)33.82% (0.026000000000003 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.51% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)70.49% (0.028999999999996 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Lens 49.97%
    Lyon 25.34%
    Draw 24.67%
LensDrawLyon
1-0 @ 10.81%
2-1 @ 9.54% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 8.8% (0.0089999999999986 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.17% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 4.77% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.8% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 2.1% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 1.94% (0.004 0)
4-2 @ 1.14% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 49.97%
1-1 @ 11.72% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.65% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-2 @ 5.17% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-3 @ 1.01% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 24.67%
0-1 @ 7.21% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
1-2 @ 6.36% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.91% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.3% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 1.87% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 1.41% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 25.34%

How you voted: Lens vs Lyon

Lens
73.1%
Draw
19.2%
Lyon
7.7%
26
Head to Head
Feb 12, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 23
Lyon
2-1
Lens
Lacazette (23'), Cherki (64')
Machado (39')
> Preview
Oct 2, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 9
Lens
1-0
Lyon
Sotoca (82' pen.)
> Preview
Feb 19, 2022 4pm
Gameweek 25
Lens
1-1
Lyon
Clauss (13')
Kadewere (44')
Palmieri (70'), Dubois (84')
> Preview
Oct 30, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 12
Lyon
2-1
Lens
Toko Ekambi (25' pen.), Aouar (41')
Paqueta (10')
Kalimuendo (61')
Sotoca (38'), Clauss (54')
> Preview
Apr 3, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 31
Lens
1-1
Lyon
Clauss (65')
Fortes (6'), Sotoca (70'), Michelin (87')
Paqueta (81')
Guimaraes (7'), Depay (48'), De Sciglio (79')
Slimani (90')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG19145049173247
2Marseille19114440231737
3MonacoMonaco19104532221034
4Nice1996438251333
5Lille1988329191032
6Lyon198653023730
7Lens198652318530
8Brest199192931-228
9StrasbourgStrasbourg197663331227
10Toulouse197482021-125
11Auxerre196582529-423
12Reims195772527-222
13Angers196492128-722
14NantesNantes193972229-718
15Saint-EtienneSt Etienne1953111839-2118
16Rennes1952122630-417
17Montpellier HSCMontpellier1943122044-2415
18Le HavreLe Havre1941141438-2413
> Ligue 1 Full Table


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