MX23RW : Tuesday, January 21 03:34:11| >> :300:86500:86500:
Angers
AJ Auxerre
Brest logo
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lyon
Marseille
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Lens logo
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 14
Dec 2, 2023 at 4pm UK
Stade Bollaert-Delelis
Lyon

Lens
3 - 2
Lyon

Said (26'), Frankowski (52' pen., 74')
Machado (35'), Medina (41')
Sotoca (90')
FT(HT: 1-1)
O'Brien (15', 72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Lens and Lyon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Arsenal 6-0 Lens
Wednesday, November 29 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Lyon 0-2 Lille
Sunday, November 26 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1

We said: Lens 1-0 Lyon

As bad as it was for them at Arsenal this week, Lens have shown the ability to pick themselves up after a disappointing result, while their defensive shape has improved tremendously versus French opponents. There have been a few positive takeaways for Lyon in recent matches, but not enough for us to believe their attacking quality has improved, with Les Gones tied for the fewest goals scored in Ligue 1 to date (nine). Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 49.98%. A win for Lyon had a probability of 25.34% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.54%) and 2-0 (8.8%). The likeliest Lyon win was 0-1 (7.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.72%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lens would win this match.

Result
LensDrawLyon
49.98% (0.042000000000002 0.04) 24.68% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01) 25.34% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
Both teams to score 53.16% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.88% (0.0020000000000024 0)49.11% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.81% (0.0019999999999989 0)71.18% (-0.00099999999999056 -0)
Lens Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.33% (0.018000000000001 0.02)19.67% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.34% (0.027000000000001 0.03)51.65% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
Lyon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.17% (-0.026999999999987 -0.03)33.82% (0.026000000000003 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.51% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)70.49% (0.028999999999996 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Lens 49.97%
    Lyon 25.34%
    Draw 24.67%
LensDrawLyon
1-0 @ 10.81%
2-1 @ 9.54% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 8.8% (0.0089999999999986 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.17% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 4.77% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.8% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 2.1% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 1.94% (0.004 0)
4-2 @ 1.14% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 49.97%
1-1 @ 11.72% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.65% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-2 @ 5.17% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-3 @ 1.01% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 24.67%
0-1 @ 7.21% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
1-2 @ 6.36% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.91% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.3% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 1.87% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 1.41% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 25.34%

How you voted: Lens vs Lyon

Lens
73.1%
Draw
19.2%
Lyon
7.7%
26
Head to Head
Feb 12, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 23
Lyon
2-1
Lens
Lacazette (23'), Cherki (64')
Machado (39')
Oct 2, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 9
Lens
1-0
Lyon
Sotoca (82' pen.)
Feb 19, 2022 4pm
Gameweek 25
Lens
1-1
Lyon
Clauss (13')
Kadewere (44')
Palmieri (70'), Dubois (84')
Oct 30, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 12
Lyon
2-1
Lens
Toko Ekambi (25' pen.), Aouar (41')
Paqueta (10')
Kalimuendo (61')
Sotoca (38'), Clauss (54')
Apr 3, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 31
Lens
1-1
Lyon
Clauss (65')
Fortes (6'), Sotoca (70'), Michelin (87')
Paqueta (81')
Guimaraes (7'), Depay (48'), De Sciglio (79')
Slimani (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG18144048163246
2Marseille18114340211937
3Lille1888228171132
4MonacoMonaco189452920931
5Nice1886436251130
6Lyon188552922729
7Lens187652218427
8Toulouse187471919025
9Brest188192831-325
10StrasbourgStrasbourg186663130124
11Auxerre186482428-422
12Angers186482127-622
13Reims185672426-221
14Rennes1852112427-317
15NantesNantes183872128-717
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne1852111738-2117
17Le HavreLe Havre1841131437-2313
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier1833121843-2512


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