Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 56.74%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Nantes had a probability of 19.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.75%) and 2-1 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.26%), while for a Nantes win it was 0-1 (6.55%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lens would win this match.
Result | ||
Lens | Draw | Nantes |
56.74% ( -0) | 23.73% ( -0.01) | 19.53% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 48.76% ( 0.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.71% ( 0.06) | 51.29% ( -0.06) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.88% ( 0.05) | 73.12% ( -0.05) |
Lens Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.11% ( 0.02) | 17.89% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.32% ( 0.03) | 48.67% ( -0.03) |
Nantes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.39% ( 0.05) | 40.61% ( -0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.79% ( 0.04) | 77.21% ( -0.05) |
Score Analysis |
Lens | Draw | Nantes |
1-0 @ 12.5% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 10.75% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.7% ( 0) 3-0 @ 6.17% ( -0) 3-1 @ 5.56% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.66% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.51% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.39% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.08% ( 0) 5-0 @ 0.91% ( 0) Other @ 2.5% Total : 56.72% | 1-1 @ 11.26% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.27% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.37% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.83% Total : 23.72% | 0-1 @ 6.55% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 5.08% ( 0) 0-2 @ 2.95% 1-3 @ 1.53% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.31% ( 0) Other @ 2.12% Total : 19.53% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 31 | 20 | 10 | 1 | 76 | 29 | 47 | 70 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 32 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 62 | 42 | 20 | 61 |
3 | Brest | 32 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 49 | 33 | 16 | 57 |
4 | Lille | 31 | 15 | 10 | 6 | 45 | 27 | 18 | 55 |
5 | Nice | 31 | 14 | 9 | 8 | 36 | 25 | 11 | 51 |
6 | Lens | 32 | 14 | 7 | 11 | 42 | 34 | 8 | 49 |
7 | Rennes | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 51 | 43 | 8 | 45 |
8 | Marseille | 31 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 47 | 38 | 9 | 44 |
9 | Lyon | 31 | 13 | 5 | 13 | 42 | 51 | -9 | 44 |
10 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 32 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 41 | 44 | -3 | 40 |
11 | Toulouse | 32 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 39 | 42 | -3 | 40 |
12 | Reims | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 38 | 45 | -7 | 40 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 32 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 35 | 47 | -12 | 36 |
14 | NantesNantes | 32 | 9 | 6 | 17 | 29 | 49 | -20 | 33 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 32 | 7 | 11 | 14 | 33 | 42 | -9 | 32 |
16 | Metz | 32 | 8 | 5 | 19 | 34 | 54 | -20 | 29 |
17 | Lorient | 32 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 37 | 63 | -26 | 26 |
18 | Clermont | 32 | 5 | 10 | 17 | 26 | 54 | -28 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |