Ligue 1 | Gameweek 10
Oct 28, 2023 at 8pm UK
Stade Bollaert-Delelis
Lens4 - 0Nantes
We said: Lens 1-1 Nantes
Saturday night's Ligue 1 affair is a particularly difficult one to call, as Lens have shut up shop at the back admirably in recent weeks, albeit not always with the attacking proficiency to go with it. With jellied legs from the Champions League also setting in, Haise's backline may still struggle to contain a prolific Nantes side, who can feel confident of holding out for a slice of the spoils. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 56.74%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Nantes had a probability of 19.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.75%) and 2-1 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.26%), while for a Nantes win it was 0-1 (6.55%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lens would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lens | Draw | Nantes |
56.74% ( -0) | 23.73% ( -0.01) | 19.53% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 48.76% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.71% ( 0.06) | 51.29% ( -0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.88% ( 0.05) | 73.12% ( -0.05) |
| Lens Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.11% ( 0.02) | 17.89% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 51.32% ( 0.03) | 48.67% ( -0.03) |
| Nantes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.39% ( 0.05) | 40.61% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 22.79% ( 0.04) | 77.21% ( -0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
Lens 56.72%
Nantes 19.53%
Draw 23.72%
| Lens | Draw | Nantes |
| 1-0 @ 12.5% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 10.75% ( -0.02)2-1 @ 9.7% ( 0)3-0 @ 6.17% ( -0)3-1 @ 5.56% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 2.66% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.51% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.39% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.08% ( 0)5-0 @ 0.91% ( 0)Other @ 2.5% Total : 56.72% | 1-1 @ 11.26% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.27% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 4.37% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.83% Total : 23.72% | 0-1 @ 6.55% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 5.08% ( 0)0-2 @ 2.95% 1-3 @ 1.53% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.31% ( 0)Other @ 2.12% Total : 19.53% |
How you voted: Lens vs Nantes
Lens
43.8%Draw
31.3%Nantes
25.0%32
Head to Head
Mar 1, 2023 5.15pm
Feb 19, 2023 4.05pm
Sep 18, 2022 4.05pm
Gameweek 8
Nantes
0-0
Lens
Apr 30, 2022 4pm
Gameweek 35
Lens
2-2
Nantes
Dec 10, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 18
Nantes
3-2
Lens
