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Champions League header

Champions League
PSV
Champions League | Group Stage
Nov 8, 2023 at 8pm UK
Philips Stadion
Lens logo

PSV
1 - 0
Lens

de Jong (12')
Lozano (38'), Ramalho (45+2')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Machado (42'), Danso (43'), Wahi (45+1'), Sotoca (45+1'), Gradit (52'), Medina (53'), Guilavogui (82')
Guilavogui (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Champions League clash between PSV Eindhoven and Lens, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

PSV Eindhoven

All competitions
Champions League
Last Game: Heracles 0-6 PSV
Saturday, November 4 at 3.30pm in Eredivisie

Lens

All competitions
Champions League
Last Game: Lorient 0-0 Lens
Saturday, November 4 at 4pm in Ligue 1

We said: PSV Eindhoven 2-1 Lens

 Expected recalls for Wahi and Thomasson in the final third should help Lens rediscover their bite in the final third, but they could certainly do with taking a leaf or two out of PSV's attacking playbook, even if Bosz's team have seen their powers wane continentally. Haise's troops have also proven time and time again that they are a force to reckon with defensively on the road, but we cannot see Les Sang et Or coming from behind to avoid defeat for a fourth time, as PSV harness their enviable firepower to blow Group B wide open. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 56.34%. A win for Lens had a probability of 22.25% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.17%) and 1-0 (8.11%). The likeliest Lens win was 1-2 (5.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.

Result
PSV EindhovenDrawLens
56.34% (0.026000000000003 0.03) 21.42% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01) 22.25% (-0.016000000000002 -0.02)
Both teams to score 60.51% (0.016000000000005 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.31% (0.029000000000003 0.03)37.69% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.07% (0.030999999999999 0.03)59.93% (-0.032000000000004 -0.03)
PSV Eindhoven Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.7% (0.018000000000001 0.02)13.3% (-0.017999999999999 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.86% (0.035000000000004 0.04)40.14% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)
Lens Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.8% (0.0030000000000001 0)30.2% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.64% (0.0040000000000049 0)66.36% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Score Analysis
    PSV Eindhoven 56.34%
    Lens 22.25%
    Draw 21.42%
PSV EindhovenDrawLens
2-1 @ 9.79%
2-0 @ 8.17% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
1-0 @ 8.11% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-1 @ 6.58% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-0 @ 5.5% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 3.94% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 3.32% (0.004 0)
4-0 @ 2.77% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.99% (0.002 0)
5-1 @ 1.34% (0.0029999999999999 0)
5-0 @ 1.12% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.73%
Total : 56.34%
1-1 @ 9.7% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.86% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-0 @ 4.02% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.57% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 21.42%
1-2 @ 5.81% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-1 @ 4.81% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-2 @ 2.88% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 2.34%
1-3 @ 2.32% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 1.15% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 22.25%

How you voted: PSV vs Lens

PSV Eindhoven
71.7%
Draw
16.6%
Lens
11.7%
145
Head to Head
Oct 24, 2023 8pm
Group Stage
Lens
1-1
PSV
Wahi (65')
Mendy (52'), Said (90+4'), Thomasson (90+4'), Abdul Samed (90+3')
Bakayoko (54')
Ramalho (30'), Boscagli (70'), Pepi (90+3')
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