We said: Lens 1-1 Marseille
Both sides have shown pragmatic approaches to get results in recent weeks, as defensive solidity has been the backbone of Haise's success at Lens. It will be a tough place to come to end Marseille's winless away run, and that is set to continue, but the spoils may well be shared here. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 46.91%. A win for Marseille had a probability of 27.88% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.31%) and 2-0 (8.17%). The likeliest Marseille win was 0-1 (7.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Lens in this match.
| Result | ||
| Lens | Draw | Marseille |
46.91% ( -0.04) | 25.21% ( -0.1) | 27.88% ( 0.13) |
| Both teams to score 53.61% ( 0.41) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.47% ( 0.49) | 49.53% ( -0.49) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.44% ( 0.44) | 71.56% ( -0.44) |
| Lens Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.87% ( 0.19) | 21.13% ( -0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 46.02% ( 0.29) | 53.98% ( -0.29) |
| Marseille Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.98% ( 0.36) | 32.02% ( -0.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 31.52% ( 0.41) | 68.48% ( -0.41) |
| Score Analysis |
Lens 46.91%
Marseille 27.88%
Draw 25.2%
| Lens | Draw | Marseille |
| 1-0 @ 10.51% ( -0.15) 2-1 @ 9.31% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 8.17% ( -0.07)3-1 @ 4.82% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 4.24% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.75% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 1.87% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.65% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.07% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.52% Total : 46.91% | 1-1 @ 11.97% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 6.77% ( -0.14)2-2 @ 5.3% ( 0.06)3-3 @ 1.04% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.2% | 0-1 @ 7.71% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 6.82% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 4.39% 1-3 @ 2.59% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 2.01% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 1.67% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.7% Total : 27.88% |
How you voted: Lens vs Marseille
Lens
51.4%Draw
31.4%Marseille
17.1%35
