Ligue 1 | Gameweek 13
Nov 25, 2023 at 4pm UK
Stade Gabriel Montpied
Clermont0 - 3Lens
We said: Clermont 1-2 Lens
While a draw would not be a surprising outcome, Lens could nick a slender win in Clermont, extending their unbeaten run over the hosts and ending their opponent's two-game run without losing. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 46.05%. A win for Clermont had a probability of 27.78% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.09%) and 0-2 (8.46%). The likeliest Clermont win was 1-0 (8.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.43%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lens would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Clermont | Draw | Lens |
27.78% ( -0.01) | 26.17% ( -0.02) | 46.05% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 50.57% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
