Ligue 1 | Gameweek 13
Oct 28, 2022 at 8pm UK
Stade Felix Bollaert
Lens3 - 0Toulouse
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Marseille 0-1 Lens
Saturday, October 22 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Saturday, October 22 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Toulouse 2-2 Strasbourg
Sunday, October 23 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Sunday, October 23 at 2pm in Ligue 1
We said: Lens 2-0 Toulouse
It is too early to tell if Toulouse can maintain their solid form at the moment, whereas Lens have proven since entering the league that they can compete and earn results against the elite sides in Ligue 1. That being said, the consistency of Lens and how comfortable they look at home has us tipping the scales in their favour for this encounter. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 56.69%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Toulouse had a probability of 19.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.49%) and 2-1 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.15%), while for a Toulouse win it was 0-1 (6.37%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lens would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lens | Draw | Toulouse |
56.69% ( 0) | 23.46% ( 0) | 19.84% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 50.05% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.18% ( -0.03) | 49.82% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.18% ( -0.03) | 71.82% ( 0.02) |
| Lens Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.63% ( -0.01) | 17.37% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 52.23% ( -0.02) | 47.77% ( 0.01) |
| Toulouse Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.57% ( -0.03) | 39.42% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 23.88% ( -0.03) | 76.12% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
Lens 56.69%
Toulouse 19.84%
Draw 23.45%
| Lens | Draw | Toulouse |
| 1-0 @ 11.98% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 10.49% ( 0.01)2-1 @ 9.77% ( -0)3-0 @ 6.12% ( 0)3-1 @ 5.7% ( -0)4-0 @ 2.68% 3-2 @ 2.65% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.49% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.16% ( -0)5-0 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.71% Total : 56.69% | 1-1 @ 11.15% 0-0 @ 6.85% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 4.55% ( -0)Other @ 0.91% Total : 23.45% | 0-1 @ 6.37% ( 0) 1-2 @ 5.19% ( -0)0-2 @ 2.97% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.61% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.41% ( -0)0-3 @ 0.92% ( -0)Other @ 1.37% Total : 19.84% |
How you voted: Lens vs Toulouse
Lens
77.3%Draw
12.0%Toulouse
10.7%150
