MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 15:20:32| >> :300:86500:86500:
Angers
AJ Auxerre
Brest logo
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lyon
Marseille
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Ligue 1 header desktop

Ligue 1
Lens logo
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 13
Oct 28, 2022 at 8pm UK
Stade Felix Bollaert
Toulouse

Lens
3 - 0
Toulouse

Openda (60', 86', 90+1')
Haidara (67'), Openda (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Dejaegere (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Ligue 1 clash between Lens and Toulouse, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lens

All competitions
Last Game: Marseille 0-1 Lens
Saturday, October 22 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Toulouse

All competitions
Last Game: Toulouse 2-2 Strasbourg
Sunday, October 23 at 2pm in Ligue 1

We said: Lens 2-0 Toulouse

 It is too early to tell if Toulouse can maintain their solid form at the moment, whereas Lens have proven since entering the league that they can compete and earn results against the elite sides in Ligue 1. That being said, the consistency of Lens and how comfortable they look at home has us tipping the scales in their favour for this encounter. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 56.69%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Toulouse had a probability of 19.84%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.49%) and 2-1 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.15%), while for a Toulouse win it was 0-1 (6.37%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lens would win this match.

Result
LensDrawToulouse
56.69% (0.0039999999999978 0) 23.46% (0.0040000000000013 0) 19.84% (-0.012 -0.01)
Both teams to score 50.05% (-0.032000000000004 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.18% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)49.82% (0.029000000000003 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.18% (-0.029 -0.03)71.82% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Lens Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.63% (-0.012999999999991 -0.01)17.37% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.23% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)47.77% (0.013000000000005 0.01)
Toulouse Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.57% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)39.42% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.88% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)76.12% (0.022000000000006 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Lens 56.69%
    Toulouse 19.84%
    Draw 23.45%
LensDrawToulouse
1-0 @ 11.98% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 10.49% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.77% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 6.12% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-1 @ 5.7% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
4-0 @ 2.68%
3-2 @ 2.65% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
4-1 @ 2.49% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-2 @ 1.16% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-0 @ 0.94%
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 56.69%
1-1 @ 11.15%
0-0 @ 6.85% (0.008 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.55% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 23.45%
0-1 @ 6.37% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-2 @ 5.19% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-2 @ 2.97% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-3 @ 1.61% (-0.002 -0)
2-3 @ 1.41% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 0.92% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 1.37%
Total : 19.84%

How you voted: Lens vs Toulouse

Lens
77.3%
Draw
12.0%
Toulouse
10.7%
150
Head to Head
Mar 14, 2015 7pm
Lens
1-0
Toulouse
Chavarria (76')
Nomenjanahary (66'), Landre (90')

Grigore (67')
> Match Report
Oct 24, 2014 7.30pm
Toulouse
0-2
Lens

Grigore (90')
El Jadeyaoui (11'), Bourigeaud (27')
El Jadeyaoui (58'), Sylla (88')
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG1192033102329
2MonacoMonaco117221881023
3Marseille116232415920
4Lille115421811719
5Lyon115331815318
6Nice1145221111017
7Reims115241915417
8Lens11452129317
9Auxerre115152019116
10Toulouse114341311215
11StrasbourgStrasbourg113442022-213
12Brest114161419-513
13Rennes113261318-511
14NantesNantes112451417-310
15Angers112451320-710
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne113171025-1510
17Le HavreLe Havre11308823-159
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier112181131-207
> Ligue 1 Full Table


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