Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 56.42%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Nice had a probability of 20.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.43%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.19%), while for a Nice win it was 0-1 (6.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lille would win this match.
Result | ||
Lille | Draw | Nice |
56.42% | 23.54% | 20.04% |
Both teams to score 50.13% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.12% | 49.88% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.12% | 71.87% |
Lille Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.51% | 17.49% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.02% | 47.98% |
Nice Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.75% | 39.25% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.04% | 75.96% |
Score Analysis |
Lille | Draw | Nice |
1-0 @ 11.96% 2-0 @ 10.43% 2-1 @ 9.76% 3-0 @ 6.06% 3-1 @ 5.67% 3-2 @ 2.65% 4-0 @ 2.64% 4-1 @ 2.47% 4-2 @ 1.16% 5-0 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.68% Total : 56.41% | 1-1 @ 11.19% 0-0 @ 6.86% 2-2 @ 4.56% Other @ 0.92% Total : 23.53% | 0-1 @ 6.42% 1-2 @ 5.24% 0-2 @ 3% 1-3 @ 1.63% 2-3 @ 1.42% 0-3 @ 0.94% Other @ 1.39% Total : 20.04% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 16 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 44 | 14 | 30 | 40 |
2 | Marseille | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 39 | 20 | 19 | 36 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 28 | 18 | 10 | 31 |
4 | Nice | 17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 35 | 23 | 12 | 30 |
5 | Lille | 17 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 28 |
6 | Lyon | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 29 | 22 | 7 | 28 |
7 | Lens | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 24 |
8 | Toulouse | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 24 |
9 | Brest | 17 | 7 | 1 | 9 | 26 | 30 | -4 | 22 |
10 | Auxerre | 17 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 24 | 26 | -2 | 21 |
11 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 28 | 28 | 0 | 20 |
12 | Reims | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 20 |
13 | Rennes | 17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 17 |
14 | NantesNantes | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 20 | 27 | -7 | 16 |
15 | Angers | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 16 |
16 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 16 | 5 | 1 | 10 | 15 | 35 | -20 | 16 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 16 | 4 | 0 | 12 | 12 | 34 | -22 | 12 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 16 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 15 | 39 | -24 | 9 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |