Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Lyon 0-0 Lorient
Sunday, March 5 at 4.05pm in Ligue 1
Sunday, March 5 at 4.05pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Troyes 2-2 Monaco
Sunday, March 5 at 12pm in Ligue 1
Sunday, March 5 at 12pm in Ligue 1
We said: Lorient 1-0 Troyes
Both of these sides are coming into this clash off the back of respectable points last time out, although the long-term form of Troyes is something that cannot be ignored. Les Merlus have shown their ability to pick up results despite losing their star men in January, and they should be confident of beating a troubled Troyes side on Sunday afternoon. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lorient win with a probability of 57.31%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Troyes had a probability of 19.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lorient win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.19%) and 2-1 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.86%), while for a Troyes win it was 0-1 (5.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lorient would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lorient | Draw | Troyes |
57.31% ( 0.09) | 22.85% ( -0.11) | 19.84% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 51.92% ( 0.38) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.68% ( 0.49) | 47.32% ( -0.5) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.46% ( 0.46) | 69.54% ( -0.46) |
| Lorient Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.74% ( 0.2) | 16.26% ( -0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 54.2% ( 0.37) | 45.79% ( -0.38) |
| Troyes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.01% ( 0.31) | 37.99% ( -0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 25.24% ( 0.29) | 74.76% ( -0.3) |
| Score Analysis |
Lorient 57.31%
Troyes 19.84%
Draw 22.85%
| Lorient | Draw | Troyes |
| 1-0 @ 11.22% ( -0.15) 2-0 @ 10.19% ( -0.07)2-1 @ 9.86% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 6.17% ( 0)3-1 @ 5.97% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 2.89% ( 0.05)4-0 @ 2.8% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 2.71% ( 0.04)4-2 @ 1.31% ( 0.03)5-0 @ 1.02% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 0.99% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.17% Total : 57.31% | 1-1 @ 10.86% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 6.18% ( -0.13)2-2 @ 4.77% ( 0.05)3-3 @ 0.93% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.11% Total : 22.85% | 0-1 @ 5.98% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 5.26% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 2.89% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.7% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.54% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 0.93% ( 0)Other @ 1.54% Total : 19.84% |
How you voted: Lorient vs Troyes
Lorient
75.0%Draw
20.0%Troyes
5.0%20
