Ligue 1 | Gameweek 21
Feb 1, 2023 at 6pm UK
Stadium Municipal
Toulouse4 - 1Troyes
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Strasbourg 1-2 Toulouse
Sunday, January 29 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Sunday, January 29 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Troyes 1-1 Lens
Saturday, January 28 at 4pm in Ligue 1
Saturday, January 28 at 4pm in Ligue 1
We said: Toulouse 2-0 Troyes
Toulouse enjoyed an unbeaten January to start 2023 in style and now face a struggling Troyes side at home in their first fixture of an action-packed February. Troyes earned a respectable point against Lens last time out but expended a lot of energy in the process, meaning a trip to Stadium de Toulouse on Wednesday evening is set to be a very tricky assignment. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toulouse win with a probability of 64.53%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Troyes had a probability of 15.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toulouse win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.06%) and 2-1 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.66%), while for a Troyes win it was 0-1 (4.73%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Toulouse would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Toulouse | Draw | Troyes |
64.53% ( 0.12) | 20.33% ( -0.03) | 15.14% ( -0.09) |
| Both teams to score 50.69% ( -0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.78% ( -0.02) | 44.22% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.41% ( -0.02) | 66.6% ( 0.02) |
| Toulouse Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.04% ( 0.03) | 12.96% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 60.56% ( 0.06) | 39.44% ( -0.06) |
| Troyes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.24% ( -0.13) | 41.76% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 21.77% ( -0.12) | 78.23% ( 0.12) |
| Score Analysis |
Toulouse 64.52%
Troyes 15.14%
Draw 20.33%
| Toulouse | Draw | Troyes |
| 2-0 @ 11.29% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 11.06% ( 0.03)2-1 @ 9.87% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 7.7% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 6.72% ( 0)4-0 @ 3.93% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 3.43% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.93% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 1.61% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.5% ( -0)5-1 @ 1.4% ( 0)Other @ 3.08% Total : 64.52% | 1-1 @ 9.66% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 5.41% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 4.31% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.96% Total : 20.33% | 0-1 @ 4.73% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 4.22% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 2.06% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.25% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.23% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.66% Total : 15.14% |
How you voted: Toulouse vs Troyes
Toulouse
78.7%Draw
19.1%Troyes
2.1%47
