Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reims win with a probability of 58.47%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Troyes had a probability of 19.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Reims win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.28%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.63%), while for a Troyes win it was 0-1 (5.71%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Reims would win this match.
Result | ||
Reims | Draw | Troyes |
58.47% ( -0.7) | 22.39% ( 0.19) | 19.13% ( 0.51) |
Both teams to score 52.21% ( 0.28) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.65% ( -0.08) | 46.35% ( 0.08) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.36% ( -0.07) | 68.63% ( 0.07) |
Reims Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.47% ( -0.26) | 15.53% ( 0.26) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.54% ( -0.48) | 44.45% ( 0.48) |
Troyes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.81% ( 0.51) | 38.18% ( -0.52) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.05% ( 0.49) | 74.94% ( -0.49) |
Score Analysis |
Reims | Draw | Troyes |
1-0 @ 11.04% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 10.28% ( -0.15) 2-1 @ 9.9% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 6.38% ( -0.15) 3-1 @ 6.15% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 2.97% ( -0.1) 3-2 @ 2.96% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.86% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 1.38% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.11% ( -0.05) 5-1 @ 1.07% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.37% Total : 58.46% | 1-1 @ 10.63% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 5.93% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.77% ( 0.06) 3-3 @ 0.95% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.11% Total : 22.39% | 0-1 @ 5.71% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 5.12% ( 0.11) 0-2 @ 2.75% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 1.64% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 1.53% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.39% Total : 19.13% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 13 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 37 | 11 | 26 | 33 |
2 | Marseille | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 26 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 22 | 12 | 10 | 26 |
4 | Lille | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 21 | 13 | 8 | 23 |
5 | Lyon | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 23 | 17 | 6 | 22 |
6 | Nice | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 20 |
7 | Lens | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 20 |
8 | Auxerre | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 21 | 21 | 0 | 19 |
9 | Reims | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 18 |
10 | Toulouse | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 18 |
11 | Brest | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 19 | 23 | -4 | 16 |
12 | Rennes | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 14 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 22 | 27 | -5 | 13 |
14 | Angers | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 13 |
15 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 11 | 30 | -19 | 13 |
16 | Le HavreLe Havre | 13 | 4 | 0 | 9 | 10 | 24 | -14 | 12 |
17 | NantesNantes | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 11 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 13 | 34 | -21 | 8 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |