Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reims win with a probability of 58.47%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Troyes had a probability of 19.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Reims win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.28%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.63%), while for a Troyes win it was 0-1 (5.71%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Reims would win this match.
Result | ||
Reims | Draw | Troyes |
58.47% ( -0.7) | 22.39% ( 0.19) | 19.13% ( 0.51) |
Both teams to score 52.21% ( 0.28) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.65% ( -0.08) | 46.35% ( 0.08) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.36% ( -0.07) | 68.63% ( 0.07) |
Reims Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.47% ( -0.26) | 15.53% ( 0.26) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.54% ( -0.48) | 44.45% ( 0.48) |
Troyes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.81% ( 0.51) | 38.18% ( -0.52) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.05% ( 0.49) | 74.94% ( -0.49) |
Score Analysis |
Reims | Draw | Troyes |
1-0 @ 11.04% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 10.28% ( -0.15) 2-1 @ 9.9% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 6.38% ( -0.15) 3-1 @ 6.15% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 2.97% ( -0.1) 3-2 @ 2.96% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.86% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 1.38% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.11% ( -0.05) 5-1 @ 1.07% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.37% Total : 58.46% | 1-1 @ 10.63% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 5.93% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.77% ( 0.06) 3-3 @ 0.95% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.11% Total : 22.39% | 0-1 @ 5.71% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 5.12% ( 0.11) 0-2 @ 2.75% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 1.64% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 1.53% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.39% Total : 19.13% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 16 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 44 | 14 | 30 | 40 |
2 | Marseille | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 39 | 20 | 19 | 36 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 28 | 18 | 10 | 31 |
4 | Nice | 17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 35 | 23 | 12 | 30 |
5 | Lille | 17 | 7 | 8 | 2 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 29 |
6 | Lyon | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 29 | 22 | 7 | 28 |
7 | Lens | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 21 | 16 | 5 | 27 |
8 | Toulouse | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 24 |
9 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 30 | 29 | 1 | 23 |
10 | Auxerre | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 24 | 26 | -2 | 22 |
11 | Brest | 17 | 7 | 1 | 9 | 26 | 30 | -4 | 22 |
12 | Reims | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 20 |
13 | Angers | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 19 | 27 | -8 | 19 |
14 | Rennes | 17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 17 |
15 | NantesNantes | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 20 | 27 | -7 | 16 |
16 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 16 | 5 | 1 | 10 | 15 | 35 | -20 | 16 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 17 | 4 | 0 | 13 | 13 | 36 | -23 | 12 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 17 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 16 | 42 | -26 | 9 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |