MX23RW : Tuesday, December 3 18:56:49| >> :300:86500:86500:
Angers
AJ Auxerre
Brest logo
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lyon
Marseille
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Reims
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 23
Feb 12, 2023 at 2pm UK
Stade Auguste Delaune
Troyes

Reims
4 - 0
Troyes

Munetsi (10'), Maolida (44'), Balogun (50'), Cajuste (82')
Flips (41')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Palmer-Brown (43'), Agoume (57')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Reims and Troyes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Toulouse 3-1 Reims
Wednesday, February 8 at 5.15pm in Coupe de France
Last Game: Troyes 1-3 Lyon
Saturday, February 4 at 6pm in Ligue 1

We said: Reims 2-0 Troyes

Given how poor defensively Troyes have looked in recent games, having to contend with an in-form striker like Balogun is probably the last thing they need right now. Outside of Balogun, Reims have not been particularly sharp in the attacking third, but they look far more comfortable along the backline than ESTAC and should not have much difficulty containing that attacking line. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reims win with a probability of 58.47%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Troyes had a probability of 19.13%.

The most likely scoreline for a Reims win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.28%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.63%), while for a Troyes win it was 0-1 (5.71%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Reims would win this match.

Result
ReimsDrawTroyes
58.47% (-0.701 -0.7) 22.39% (0.192 0.19) 19.13% (0.506 0.51)
Both teams to score 52.21% (0.277 0.28)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.65% (-0.077999999999996 -0.08)46.35% (0.075000000000003 0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.36% (-0.073 -0.07)68.63% (0.070000000000007 0.07)
Reims Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.47% (-0.259 -0.26)15.53% (0.257 0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.54% (-0.481 -0.48)44.45% (0.478 0.48)
Troyes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.81% (0.513 0.51)38.18% (-0.518 -0.52)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.05% (0.492 0.49)74.94% (-0.49499999999999 -0.49)
Score Analysis
    Reims 58.46%
    Troyes 19.13%
    Draw 22.39%
ReimsDrawTroyes
1-0 @ 11.04% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-0 @ 10.28% (-0.15 -0.15)
2-1 @ 9.9% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
3-0 @ 6.38% (-0.152 -0.15)
3-1 @ 6.15% (-0.058 -0.06)
4-0 @ 2.97% (-0.097 -0.1)
3-2 @ 2.96% (0.014 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.86% (-0.053 -0.05)
4-2 @ 1.38% (-0.006 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.11% (-0.047 -0.05)
5-1 @ 1.07% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 58.46%
1-1 @ 10.63% (0.090000000000002 0.09)
0-0 @ 5.93% (0.019 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.77% (0.064 0.06)
3-3 @ 0.95% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 22.39%
0-1 @ 5.71% (0.098 0.1)
1-2 @ 5.12% (0.113 0.11)
0-2 @ 2.75% (0.084 0.08)
1-3 @ 1.64% (0.059 0.06)
2-3 @ 1.53% (0.042 0.04)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 19.13%

How you voted: Reims vs Troyes

Reims
81.1%
Draw
8.1%
Troyes
10.8%
37
Head to Head
Oct 2, 2022 2pm
Troyes
2-2
Reims
Odobert (51'), Porozo (90')
Salmier (19')
Balogun (13'), Ito (54')
Apr 3, 2022 2pm
Troyes
1-0
Reims
Ripart (90+2')
Palmer-Brown (74')

Abdelhamid (9'), Matusiwa (35'), Busi (80')
Matusiwa (54')
Oct 24, 2021 2pm
Reims
1-2
Troyes
Abdelhamid (6')
Flips (32'), Gravillon (44'), Matusiwa (86')
Gravillon (90+2')
Balde (41'), Chavalerin (65')
Kabore (9'), Gallon (76')
Apr 16, 2016 7pm
Troyes
2-1
Reims
Camus (50'), Nivet (61' pen.)
Thiago (65'), Saunier (87')
Bifouma (64')
Conte (30'), Carrasso (60'), Bifouma (87')
Dec 5, 2015 7pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Browns
32-41
Broncos
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG13103037112633
2Marseille1382329171226
3MonacoMonaco1382322121026
4Lille136522113823
5Lyon136432317622
6Nice135532416820
7Lens135531512320
8Auxerre136162121019
9Reims135352018218
10Toulouse135351514118
11Brest135171923-416
12Rennes134271819-114
13StrasbourgStrasbourg133462227-513
14Angers133461421-713
15Saint-EtienneSt Etienne134181130-1913
16Le HavreLe Havre134091024-1412
17NantesNantes132561520-511
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier132291334-218


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