Ligue 1 | Gameweek 21
Feb 7, 2025 at 6pm UK
Stade de la Beaujoire - Louis Fonteneau
Nantes0 - 2Brest
FT(HT: 0-1)
We said: Nantes 1-1 Brest
Brest beat Nantes in the last 32 of the Coupe recently, but with much focus now set to be on the upcoming Champions League playoff against PSG, manager Roy could be tempted to rotate, to the detriment of their chances here. Nantes have become draw specialists of late, and even though they earned a win against Reims last weekend, Brest should provide a sterner challenge in a rare draw for them - no club in Europe's top-10 leagues have drawn as few this season (one). Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brest win with a probability of 41.61%. A win for Nantes had a probability of 30.97% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brest win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.5%) and 0-2 (7.77%). The likeliest Nantes win was 1-0 (9.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brest would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Nantes | Draw | Brest |
30.97% ( -1.27) | 27.41% ( 0.12) | 41.61% ( 1.14) |
| Both teams to score 48.59% ( -0.79) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.18% ( -0.8) | 56.81% ( 0.79) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.25% ( -0.65) | 77.75% ( 0.64) |
| Nantes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.47% ( -1.31) | 33.52% ( 1.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 29.84% ( -1.46) | 70.15% ( 1.45) |
| Brest Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.09% ( 0.25) | 26.9% ( -0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 37.77% ( 0.32) | 62.22% ( -0.33) |
| Score Analysis |
Nantes 30.97%
Brest 41.6%
Draw 27.41%
| Nantes | Draw | Brest |
| 1-0 @ 9.86% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 7.07% ( -0.24)2-0 @ 5.39% ( -0.23)3-1 @ 2.58% ( -0.19)3-0 @ 1.96% ( -0.16)3-2 @ 1.69% ( -0.11)Other @ 2.43% Total : 30.97% | 1-1 @ 12.94% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 9.02% ( 0.27)2-2 @ 4.64% ( -0.13)Other @ 0.81% Total : 27.41% | 0-1 @ 11.83% ( 0.43) 1-2 @ 8.5% ( 0.08)0-2 @ 7.77% ( 0.34)1-3 @ 3.72% ( 0.06)0-3 @ 3.4% ( 0.17)2-3 @ 2.03% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 1.22% ( 0.03)0-4 @ 1.12% ( 0.06)Other @ 2.01% Total : 41.6% |
How you voted: Nantes vs Brest
Nantes
38.3%Draw
28.4%Brest
33.3%81
Head to Head
Jan 15, 2025 5.30pm
Dec 15, 2024 4pm
Gameweek 15
Brest
4-1
Nantes
May 4, 2024 8pm
Dec 17, 2023 12pm
May 3, 2023 8pm
