Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 46.17%. A win for Nantes had a probability of 28.85% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.28%) and 0-2 (7.82%). The likeliest Nantes win was 1-0 (7.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Nantes | Draw | Monaco |
28.85% ( -0.15) | 24.99% ( 0.01) | 46.17% ( 0.14) |
Both teams to score 55.01% ( -0.12) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.99% ( -0.12) | 48.01% ( 0.12) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.82% ( -0.11) | 70.18% ( 0.11) |
Nantes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.49% ( -0.16) | 30.51% ( 0.17) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.27% ( -0.19) | 66.73% ( 0.19) |
Monaco Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.17% ( 0.01) | 20.84% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.48% ( 0.02) | 53.52% ( -0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Nantes | Draw | Monaco |
1-0 @ 7.55% ( 0) 2-1 @ 7.03% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 4.48% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 2.78% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.18% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 1.77% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.06% Total : 28.85% | 1-1 @ 11.83% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.36% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.51% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.98% | 0-1 @ 9.97% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 9.28% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 7.82% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 4.85% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 4.09% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 2.88% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.9% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.6% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.13% ( -0) Other @ 2.63% Total : 46.17% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 17 | 13 | 4 | 0 | 46 | 15 | 31 | 43 |
2 | Marseille | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 39 | 20 | 19 | 36 |
3 | Lille | 18 | 8 | 8 | 2 | 28 | 17 | 11 | 32 |
4 | MonacoMonaco | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 29 | 20 | 9 | 31 |
5 | Nice | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 36 | 25 | 11 | 30 |
6 | Lyon | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 29 | 22 | 7 | 28 |
7 | Lens | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 21 | 16 | 5 | 27 |
8 | Toulouse | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 24 |
9 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 30 | 29 | 1 | 23 |
10 | Auxerre | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 24 | 26 | -2 | 22 |
11 | Brest | 17 | 7 | 1 | 9 | 26 | 30 | -4 | 22 |
12 | Reims | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 20 |
13 | Angers | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 19 | 27 | -8 | 19 |
14 | Rennes | 17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 17 |
15 | NantesNantes | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 20 | 27 | -7 | 16 |
16 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 17 | 5 | 1 | 11 | 16 | 37 | -21 | 16 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 17 | 4 | 0 | 13 | 13 | 36 | -23 | 12 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 18 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 18 | 43 | -25 | 12 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |