We said: Brest 1-1 Paris Saint-Germain
After an exhausting week for PSG, the level may drop slightly once again in this domestic fixture, as it did against Reims last week, and this plucky Brest side are capable of causing them problems. While PSG are still unbeaten this season, four of the five occasions where they have dropped points have come immediately after a Champions League fixture, while Brest have taken 18 points from a possible 21 in their games straight after a European game. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 64.64%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Brest had a probability of 15.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.9%) and 0-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.26%), while for a Brest win it was 2-1 (4.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-5 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Brest | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
15.63% ( 0.32) | 19.73% ( 0.13) | 64.64% ( -0.45) |
| Both teams to score 53.97% ( 0.34) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.53% ( 0.07) | 40.47% ( -0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.15% ( 0.07) | 62.85% ( -0.06) |
| Brest Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.2% ( 0.46) | 38.8% ( -0.46) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 24.47% ( 0.43) | 75.53% ( -0.43) |
| Paris Saint-Germain Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.2% ( -0.1) | 11.8% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 62.98% ( -0.22) | 37.02% ( 0.22) |
| Score Analysis |
Brest 15.63%
Paris Saint-Germain 64.63%
Draw 19.73%
| Brest | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
| 2-1 @ 4.39% ( 0.08) 1-0 @ 4.33% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 2.05% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 1.48% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 1.38% ( 0.04)Other @ 2% Total : 15.63% | 1-1 @ 9.26% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 4.69% ( 0.06)0-0 @ 4.58% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.05% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.15% Total : 19.73% | 0-2 @ 10.45% ( -0.12) 1-2 @ 9.9% ( 0.01)0-1 @ 9.78% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 7.45% ( -0.11)1-3 @ 7.05% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 3.98% ( -0.08)1-4 @ 3.77% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 3.34% ( 0.03)2-4 @ 1.78% ( 0.01)0-5 @ 1.7% ( -0.04)1-5 @ 1.61% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.82% Total : 64.63% |
How you voted: Brest vs PSG
Brest
9.3%Draw
27.9%Paris Saint-Germain
62.8%43
Head to Head
Sep 14, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 4
PSG
3-1
Brest
Jan 28, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 19
PSG
2-2
Brest
Oct 29, 2023 12pm
Gameweek 10
Brest
2-3
PSG
Mar 11, 2023 8pm
