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Brest logo
Clermont Foot
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lorient logo
Lyon
Marseille
Metz logo
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Nantes
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 26
Mar 16, 2024 at 4pm UK
Stade de la Beaujoire - Louis Fonteneau
Strasbourg

Nantes
1 - 3
Strasbourg

Comert (35')
Zeze (33'), Comert (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Gameiro (3'), Emegha (62', 78')
Senaya (18'), Sow (35'), Bakwa (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Nantes and Strasbourg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Marseille 2-0 Nantes
Sunday, March 10 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1

We said: Nantes 1-1 Strasbourg

Five wins and two draws have been posted by each of Nantes and Strasbourg across the last 14 Ligue 1 meetings between the two clubs since 2017, while the home side have only won one of the last seven head-to-head encounters, seemingly handing Strasbourg a slight psychological advantage. A win for either side would provide them with a much-needed boost in their quest for survival, but we can see the spoils being shared in a frustrating score draw this time around. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Strasbourg win with a probability of 40.1%. A win for Nantes had a probability of 33.8% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Strasbourg win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.6%) and 0-2 (6.87%). The likeliest Nantes win was 1-0 (8.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Strasbourg would win this match.

Result
NantesDrawStrasbourg
33.8% (0.246 0.25) 26.09% (-0.035 -0.04) 40.1% (-0.21400000000001 -0.21)
Both teams to score 53.56% (0.167 0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.12% (0.188 0.19)50.88% (-0.191 -0.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.24% (0.166 0.17)72.76% (-0.167 -0.17)
Nantes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.39% (0.248 0.25)28.6% (-0.25 -0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.59% (0.31 0.31)64.4% (-0.312 -0.31)
Strasbourg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.02% (-0.027999999999992 -0.03)24.98% (0.026 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.37% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)59.63% (0.034999999999997 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Nantes 33.8%
    Strasbourg 40.1%
    Draw 26.09%
NantesDrawStrasbourg
1-0 @ 8.94% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-1 @ 7.76% (0.043 0.04)
2-0 @ 5.6% (0.035 0.04)
3-1 @ 3.24% (0.04 0.04)
3-0 @ 2.34% (0.031 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.25% (0.026 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.01% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 33.8%
1-1 @ 12.4% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 7.15% (-0.055000000000001 -0.06)
2-2 @ 5.38% (0.025 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.04% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.09%
0-1 @ 9.91% (-0.084 -0.08)
1-2 @ 8.6% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
0-2 @ 6.87% (-0.063000000000001 -0.06)
1-3 @ 3.98% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-3 @ 3.18% (-0.032 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.49% (0.011 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.38% (-0.006 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.1% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 40.1%

How you voted: Nantes vs Strasbourg

Nantes
60.4%
Draw
24.5%
Strasbourg
15.1%
53
Head to Head
Oct 6, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 8
Strasbourg
1-2
Nantes
Sahi (90+2')
Mwanga (25'), Guilbert (33'), Perrin (82')
Coco (50'), Moutoussamy (58')
Duverne (45+2')
May 7, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 34
Nantes
0-2
Strasbourg
Diallo (26' pen.), Diarra (47')
Aug 31, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 5
Strasbourg
1-1
Nantes
Diallo (28')
Mohamed (85')
Feb 6, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 23
Strasbourg
1-0
Nantes
Lienard (74')
Nyamsi (53'), Lienard (82'), Sels (90')

Chirivella (23'), Pallois (48'), Geubbels (78')
Nov 7, 2021 2pm
Gameweek 13
Nantes
2-2
Strasbourg
Coulibaly (20'), Kolo (48')
Pallois (5'), Traore (85')
Diallo (44'), Thomasson (68')
Caci (16')
Ajorque (51')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CParis Saint-GermainPSG312010176294770
2MonacoMonaco32187762422061
3Brest32169749331657
4Lille311510645271855
5Nice31149836251151
6Lens32147114234849
7Rennes32129115143845
8Marseille31111194738944
9Lyon31135134251-944
10Montpellier HSCMontpellier321011114144-340
11Toulouse321010123942-340
12Reims31117133845-740
13StrasbourgStrasbourg3299143547-1236
14NantesNantes3296172949-2033
15Le HavreLe Havre32711143342-932
16Metz3285193454-2029
17Lorient3268183763-2626
18Clermont32510172654-2825


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