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Ligue 1
Nantes
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 26
Mar 16, 2024 at 4pm UK
Stade de la Beaujoire - Louis Fonteneau
Strasbourg

Nantes
1 - 3
Strasbourg

Comert (35')
Zeze (33'), Comert (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Gameiro (3'), Emegha (62', 78')
Senaya (18'), Sow (35'), Bakwa (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Nantes and Strasbourg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Nantes

All competitions
Last Game: Marseille 2-0 Nantes
Sunday, March 10 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1

Strasbourg

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Strasbourg 0-1 Monaco
Sunday, March 10 at 2pm in Ligue 1

We said: Nantes 1-1 Strasbourg

 Five wins and two draws have been posted by each of Nantes and Strasbourg across the last 14 Ligue 1 meetings between the two clubs since 2017, while the home side have only won one of the last seven head-to-head encounters, seemingly handing Strasbourg a slight psychological advantage. A win for either side would provide them with a much-needed boost in their quest for survival, but we can see the spoils being shared in a frustrating score draw this time around. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Strasbourg win with a probability of 40.1%. A win for Nantes had a probability of 33.8% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Strasbourg win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.6%) and 0-2 (6.87%). The likeliest Nantes win was 1-0 (8.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Strasbourg would win this match.

Result
NantesDrawStrasbourg
33.8% (0.246 0.25) 26.09% (-0.035 -0.04) 40.1% (-0.21400000000001 -0.21)
Both teams to score 53.56% (0.167 0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.12% (0.188 0.19)50.88% (-0.191 -0.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.24% (0.166 0.17)72.76% (-0.167 -0.17)
Nantes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.39% (0.248 0.25)28.6% (-0.25 -0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.59% (0.31 0.31)64.4% (-0.312 -0.31)
Strasbourg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.02% (-0.027999999999992 -0.03)24.98% (0.026 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.37% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)59.63% (0.034999999999997 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Nantes 33.8%
    Strasbourg 40.1%
    Draw 26.09%
NantesDrawStrasbourg
1-0 @ 8.94% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-1 @ 7.76% (0.043 0.04)
2-0 @ 5.6% (0.035 0.04)
3-1 @ 3.24% (0.04 0.04)
3-0 @ 2.34% (0.031 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.25% (0.026 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.01% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 33.8%
1-1 @ 12.4% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 7.15% (-0.055000000000001 -0.06)
2-2 @ 5.38% (0.025 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.04% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.09%
0-1 @ 9.91% (-0.084 -0.08)
1-2 @ 8.6% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
0-2 @ 6.87% (-0.063000000000001 -0.06)
1-3 @ 3.98% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-3 @ 3.18% (-0.032 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.49% (0.011 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.38% (-0.006 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.1% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 40.1%

How you voted: Nantes vs Strasbourg

Nantes
60.4%
Draw
24.5%
Strasbourg
15.1%
53
Head to Head
Oct 6, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 8
Strasbourg
1-2
Nantes
Sahi (90+2')
Mwanga (25'), Guilbert (33'), Perrin (82')
Coco (50'), Moutoussamy (58')
Duverne (45+2')
> Preview
May 7, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 34
Nantes
0-2
Strasbourg
Diallo (26' pen.), Diarra (47')
> Preview
Aug 31, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 5
Strasbourg
1-1
Nantes
Diallo (28')
Mohamed (85')
> Preview
Feb 6, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 23
Strasbourg
1-0
Nantes
Lienard (74')
Nyamsi (53'), Lienard (82'), Sels (90')

Chirivella (23'), Pallois (48'), Geubbels (78')
> Preview
Nov 7, 2021 2pm
Gameweek 13
Nantes
2-2
Strasbourg
Coulibaly (20'), Kolo (48')
Pallois (5'), Traore (85')
Diallo (44'), Thomasson (68')
Caci (16')
Ajorque (51')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG18144048163246
2Marseille18114340211937
3Lille1888228171132
4MonacoMonaco189452920931
5Nice1886436251130
6Lyon188552922729
7Lens187652218427
8Toulouse187471919025
9Brest188192831-325
10StrasbourgStrasbourg186663130124
11Auxerre186482428-422
12Angers186482127-622
13Reims185672426-221
14Rennes1852112427-317
15NantesNantes183872128-717
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne1852111738-2117
17Le HavreLe Havre1841131437-2313
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier1833121843-2512
> Ligue 1 Full Table


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