Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Strasbourg win with a probability of 53.62%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Lorient had a probability of 21.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Strasbourg win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.32%) and 2-1 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.78%), while for a Lorient win it was 0-1 (7.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Strasbourg | Draw | Lorient |
53.62% ( -0.23) | 24.9% ( 0.13) | 21.49% ( 0.1) |
Both teams to score 48.18% ( -0.24) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.47% ( -0.38) | 53.53% ( 0.38) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.96% ( -0.32) | 75.04% ( 0.33) |
Strasbourg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.07% ( -0.24) | 19.94% ( 0.24) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.92% ( -0.39) | 52.08% ( 0.39) |
Lorient Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.17% ( -0.11) | 39.83% ( 0.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.51% ( -0.1) | 76.5% ( 0.11) |
Score Analysis |
Strasbourg | Draw | Lorient |
1-0 @ 12.8% ( 0.1) 2-0 @ 10.32% 2-1 @ 9.51% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 5.55% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 5.11% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 2.35% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 2.24% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 2.06% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 0.95% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.73% Total : 53.61% | 1-1 @ 11.78% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 7.94% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 4.38% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.79% Total : 24.89% | 0-1 @ 7.31% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 5.43% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 3.36% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 1.67% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.34% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.03% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.35% Total : 21.49% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 16 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 44 | 14 | 30 | 40 |
2 | Marseille | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 32 | 18 | 14 | 30 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 30 |
4 | Lille | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 25 | 15 | 10 | 27 |
5 | Lyon | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 25 |
6 | Nice | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 24 |
7 | Lens | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 24 |
8 | Auxerre | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 21 |
9 | Toulouse | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 21 |
10 | Reims | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 20 |
11 | Brest | 15 | 6 | 1 | 8 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 19 |
12 | Rennes | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 17 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 25 | 27 | -2 | 17 |
14 | NantesNantes | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 14 |
15 | Angers | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 13 |
16 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 15 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 12 | 34 | -22 | 13 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 15 | 4 | 0 | 11 | 11 | 29 | -18 | 12 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 15 | 38 | -23 | 9 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |