Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montpellier HSC win with a probability of 40.07%. A win for Strasbourg had a probability of 34.16% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montpellier HSC win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.64%) and 2-0 (6.72%). The likeliest Strasbourg win was 0-1 (8.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Montpellier HSC | Draw | Strasbourg |
40.07% ( -1.66) | 25.76% ( 0.49) | 34.16% ( 1.16) |
Both teams to score 54.75% ( -1.37) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.62% ( -1.91) | 49.38% ( 1.9) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.57% ( -1.74) | 71.42% ( 1.73) |
Montpellier HSC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.68% ( -1.67) | 24.32% ( 1.67) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.29% ( -2.42) | 58.7% ( 2.41) |
Strasbourg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.34% ( -0.21) | 27.65% ( 0.2) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.8% ( -0.27) | 63.2% ( 0.26) |
Score Analysis |
Montpellier HSC | Draw | Strasbourg |
1-0 @ 9.51% ( 0.28) 2-1 @ 8.64% ( -0.22) 2-0 @ 6.72% ( -0.13) 3-1 @ 4.07% ( -0.31) 3-0 @ 3.17% ( -0.23) 3-2 @ 2.62% ( -0.22) 4-1 @ 1.44% ( -0.19) 4-0 @ 1.12% ( -0.14) 4-2 @ 0.93% ( -0.13) Other @ 1.86% Total : 40.07% | 1-1 @ 12.22% ( 0.29) 0-0 @ 6.73% ( 0.51) 2-2 @ 5.55% ( -0.18) 3-3 @ 1.12% ( -0.1) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.76% | 0-1 @ 8.64% ( 0.61) 1-2 @ 7.86% ( 0.14) 0-2 @ 5.56% ( 0.36) 1-3 @ 3.37% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 2.38% ( 0.14) 2-3 @ 2.38% ( -0.09) 1-4 @ 1.08% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.9% Total : 34.16% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 31 | 20 | 10 | 1 | 76 | 29 | 47 | 70 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 32 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 62 | 42 | 20 | 61 |
3 | Brest | 32 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 49 | 33 | 16 | 57 |
4 | Lille | 31 | 15 | 10 | 6 | 45 | 27 | 18 | 55 |
5 | Nice | 31 | 14 | 9 | 8 | 36 | 25 | 11 | 51 |
6 | Lens | 32 | 14 | 7 | 11 | 42 | 34 | 8 | 49 |
7 | Rennes | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 51 | 43 | 8 | 45 |
8 | Marseille | 31 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 47 | 38 | 9 | 44 |
9 | Lyon | 31 | 13 | 5 | 13 | 42 | 51 | -9 | 44 |
10 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 32 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 41 | 44 | -3 | 40 |
11 | Toulouse | 32 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 39 | 42 | -3 | 40 |
12 | Reims | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 38 | 45 | -7 | 40 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 32 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 35 | 47 | -12 | 36 |
14 | NantesNantes | 32 | 9 | 6 | 17 | 29 | 49 | -20 | 33 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 32 | 7 | 11 | 14 | 33 | 42 | -9 | 32 |
16 | Metz | 32 | 8 | 5 | 19 | 34 | 54 | -20 | 29 |
17 | Lorient | 32 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 37 | 63 | -26 | 26 |
18 | Clermont | 32 | 5 | 10 | 17 | 26 | 54 | -28 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |