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Ligue 1
Nice
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 23
Feb 10, 2023 at 8pm UK
Stade Municipal du Ray
AC Ajaccio

Nice
3 - 0
Ajaccio

Dante (3'), Brahimi (69', 90')
Boudaoui (57')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Ligue 1 clash between Nice and Ajaccio, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Nice

All competitions
Last Game: Marseille 1-3 Nice
Sunday, February 5 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1

Ajaccio

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Ajaccio 0-2 Nantes
Sunday, February 5 at 2pm in Ligue 1

We said: Nice 3-0 Ajaccio

 Struggling for goals, without their captain and vice-captain and facing a reinvigorated Nice side, this contest has all the makings of a bad day at the office for Ajaccio. Les Aiglons' hot streak is sure to end at some point, but it should not be on Friday, as Digard's men continue to put pressure on their fellow European hopefuls with a straightforward victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nice win with a probability of 51.95%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Ajaccio had a probability of 22.56%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nice win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.07%) and 2-1 (9.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.04%), while for an Ajaccio win it was 0-1 (7.74%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-0 win for Nice in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Nice.

Result
NiceDrawAjaccio
51.95% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04) 25.49% (0.030000000000001 0.03) 22.56% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)
Both teams to score 47.81% (-0.072000000000003 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.3% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)54.7% (0.097999999999999 0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.98% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)76.02% (0.082000000000008 0.08)
Nice Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.92% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)21.08% (0.055 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.1% (-0.087000000000003 -0.09)53.9% (0.085999999999999 0.09)
Ajaccio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.58% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)39.42% (0.048000000000002 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.88% (-0.044 -0.04)76.12% (0.042999999999992 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Nice 51.94%
    Ajaccio 22.56%
    Draw 25.49%
NiceDrawAjaccio
1-0 @ 12.93% (0.02 0.02)
2-0 @ 10.07% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.37% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
3-0 @ 5.23% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.86% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.26% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.03% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.89% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 3.29%
Total : 51.94%
1-1 @ 12.04% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.31% (0.032 0.03)
2-2 @ 4.36% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 25.49%
0-1 @ 7.74% (0.019 0.02)
1-2 @ 5.61% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 3.6% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-3 @ 1.74% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 1.35% (-0.004 -0)
0-3 @ 1.12%
Other @ 1.41%
Total : 22.56%

How you voted: Nice vs Ajaccio

Nice
89.6%
Draw
5.2%
Ajaccio
5.2%
115
Head to Head
Sep 11, 2022 2pm
Ajaccio
0-1
Nice

Marchetti (40')
Delort (65')
Jan 18, 2014 7pm
Nice
2-0
Ajaccio
Bruls (5' og.), Cvitanich (90')
Puel (63'), Abriel (76'), Cvitanich (86')

Faty (60'), Cavalli (64'), Oliech (80')
> Match Report
Aug 25, 2013 4pm
Ajaccio
0-0
Nice
> Match Report
May 26, 2013 8pm
Ajaccio
0-2
Nice

Belghazouani (35')
Bautheac (77'), Cvitanich (50')
Cvitanich (69')
> Match Report
Aug 11, 2012 8pm
Nice
0-1
Ajaccio
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG1192033102329
2MonacoMonaco117221881023
3Marseille116232415920
4Lille115421811719
5Lyon115331815318
6Nice1145221111017
7Reims115241915417
8Lens11452129317
9Auxerre115152019116
10Toulouse114341311215
11StrasbourgStrasbourg113442022-213
12Brest114161419-513
13Rennes113261318-511
14NantesNantes112451417-310
15Angers112451320-710
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne113171025-1510
17Le HavreLe Havre11308823-159
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier112181131-207
> Ligue 1 Full Table


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