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Lille
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Strasbourg
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Ligue 1 header desktop

Ligue 1
Marseille
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 22
Feb 5, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stade Velodrome
Nice

Marseille
1 - 3
Nice

Malinovskyi (60')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Diop (38'), Laborde (44'), Brahimi (85')
Ndayishimiye (59')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Marseille and Nice, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Marseille

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Nantes 0-2 Marseille
Wednesday, February 1 at 6pm in Ligue 1

Nice

All competitions
Last Game: Lens 0-1 Nice
Wednesday, February 1 at 8pm in Ligue 1

We said: Marseille 1-1 Nice

 Rearguard solidity has been the theme for Digard and his defence-heavy 5-4-1 formation, which Marseille will certainly have a hard time breaking down, despite their plentiful attacking options. Tudor's side may already have one eye on Le Classique too, and for that reason, we would not be surprised to see an in-form Nice travel back to the Riviera with a hard-earned point to their name. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 58.11%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Nice had a probability of 18.97%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.65%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.89%), while for a Nice win it was 0-1 (6.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.

Result
MarseilleDrawNice
58.11% (0.068999999999996 0.07) 22.92% (-0.0020000000000024 -0) 18.97% (-0.071999999999999 -0.07)
Both teams to score 50.29% (-0.116 -0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.23% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)48.77% (0.089999999999996 0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.13% (-0.084 -0.08)70.87% (0.081000000000003 0.08)
Marseille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.51% (-0.012 -0.01)16.49% (0.0059999999999967 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.79% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)46.21% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Nice Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.23% (-0.134 -0.13)39.77% (0.13 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.56% (-0.123 -0.12)76.44% (0.119 0.12)
Score Analysis
    Marseille 58.11%
    Nice 18.97%
    Draw 22.91%
MarseilleDrawNice
1-0 @ 11.82% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-0 @ 10.65% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-1 @ 9.82% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 6.4% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
3-1 @ 5.9% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
4-0 @ 2.88% (0.008 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.72% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.66% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-2 @ 1.23% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.04% (0.0030000000000001 0)
5-1 @ 0.96% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.03%
Total : 58.11%
1-1 @ 10.89% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.56% (0.025 0.03)
2-2 @ 4.53% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 22.91%
0-1 @ 6.05% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-2 @ 5.02% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-2 @ 2.79% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.54% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.39% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 18.97%

How you voted: Marseille vs Nice

Marseille
81.4%
Draw
12.8%
Nice
5.8%
86
Head to Head
Aug 28, 2022 2pm
Nice
0-3
Marseille

Beka Beka (57')
Sanchez (10', 42'), Tavares (37')
Tavares (71')
Mar 20, 2022 7.45pm
Marseille
2-1
Nice
Milik (45+3' pen.), Bakambu (89')
Caleta-Car (60'), Saliba (90+1')
Lemina (90+1')
Bard (45'), Lemina (90+2')
Feb 9, 2022 8.15pm
Quarter-Finals
Nice
4-1
Marseille
Gouiri (10'), Kluivert (29', 49'), Delort (61')
Kluivert (32'), Daniliuc (90')
Bard (3' og.)
Sampaoli (34'), Balerdi (40')
Oct 27, 2021 8pm
Nice
1-1
Marseille
Gouiri (6')
Guessand (31'), Todibo (90+2')
Payet (42')
Lopez (90+1'), Kamara (90+3')
Mar 20, 2021 4pm
Nice
3-0
Marseille
Thuram (34'), Gouiri (74'), Claude-Maurice (90+1')
Benitez (90')

Caleta-Car (78')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG1192033102329
2MonacoMonaco117221881023
3Marseille116232415920
4Lille115421811719
5Lyon115331815318
6Nice1145221111017
7Reims115241915417
8Lens11452129317
9Auxerre115152019116
10Toulouse114341311215
11StrasbourgStrasbourg113442022-213
12Brest114161419-513
13Rennes113261318-511
14NantesNantes112451417-310
15Angers112451320-710
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne113171025-1510
17Le HavreLe Havre11308823-159
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier112181131-207
> Ligue 1 Full Table


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