MX23RW : Sunday, January 12 07:50:40| >> :300:86500:86500:
Angers
AJ Auxerre
Brest logo
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lyon
Marseille
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Marseille
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 22
Feb 5, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stade Velodrome
Nice

Marseille
1 - 3
Nice

FT(HT: 0-2)
Diop (38'), Laborde (44'), Brahimi (85')
Ndayishimiye (59')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Marseille and Nice, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Nantes 0-2 Marseille
Wednesday, February 1 at 6pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lens 0-1 Nice
Wednesday, February 1 at 8pm in Ligue 1

We said: Marseille 1-1 Nice

Rearguard solidity has been the theme for Digard and his defence-heavy 5-4-1 formation, which Marseille will certainly have a hard time breaking down, despite their plentiful attacking options. Tudor's side may already have one eye on Le Classique too, and for that reason, we would not be surprised to see an in-form Nice travel back to the Riviera with a hard-earned point to their name. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 58.11%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Nice had a probability of 18.97%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.65%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.89%), while for a Nice win it was 0-1 (6.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.

Result
MarseilleDrawNice
58.11% (0.068999999999996 0.07) 22.92% (-0.0020000000000024 -0) 18.97% (-0.071999999999999 -0.07)
Both teams to score 50.29% (-0.116 -0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.23% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)48.77% (0.089999999999996 0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.13% (-0.084 -0.08)70.87% (0.081000000000003 0.08)
Marseille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.51% (-0.012 -0.01)16.49% (0.0059999999999967 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.79% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)46.21% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Nice Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.23% (-0.134 -0.13)39.77% (0.13 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.56% (-0.123 -0.12)76.44% (0.119 0.12)
Score Analysis
    Marseille 58.11%
    Nice 18.97%
    Draw 22.91%
MarseilleDrawNice
1-0 @ 11.82% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-0 @ 10.65% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-1 @ 9.82% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 6.4% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
3-1 @ 5.9% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
4-0 @ 2.88% (0.008 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.72% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.66% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-2 @ 1.23% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.04% (0.0030000000000001 0)
5-1 @ 0.96% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.03%
Total : 58.11%
1-1 @ 10.89% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.56% (0.025 0.03)
2-2 @ 4.53% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 22.91%
0-1 @ 6.05% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-2 @ 5.02% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-2 @ 2.79% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.54% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.39% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 18.97%

How you voted: Marseille vs Nice

Marseille
81.4%
Draw
12.8%
Nice
5.8%
86
Head to Head
Aug 28, 2022 2pm
Nice
0-3
Marseille

Beka Beka (57')
Sanchez (10', 42'), Tavares (37')
Tavares (71')
Mar 20, 2022 7.45pm
Marseille
2-1
Nice
Milik (45+3' pen.), Bakambu (89')
Caleta-Car (60'), Saliba (90+1')
Lemina (90+1')
Bard (45'), Lemina (90+2')
Feb 9, 2022 8.15pm
Quarter-Finals
Nice
4-1
Marseille
Gouiri (10'), Kluivert (29', 49'), Delort (61')
Kluivert (32'), Daniliuc (90')
Bard (3' og.)
Sampaoli (34'), Balerdi (40')
Oct 27, 2021 8pm
Nice
1-1
Marseille
Gouiri (6')
Guessand (31'), Todibo (90+2')
Payet (42')
Lopez (90+1'), Kamara (90+3')
Mar 20, 2021 4pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG16124044143040
2Marseille17113339201936
3MonacoMonaco1794428181031
4Nice1786335231230
5Lille1777226161028
6Lyon178452922728
7Lens166641915424
8Toulouse167361817124
9Brest177192630-422
10Auxerre176372426-221
11StrasbourgStrasbourg165562828020
12Reims175572325-220
13Rennes1752102325-217
14NantesNantes173772027-716
15Angers164481626-1016
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne1651101535-2016
17Le HavreLe Havre1640121234-2212
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier1623111539-249


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