Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 58.11%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Nice had a probability of 18.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.65%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.89%), while for a Nice win it was 0-1 (6.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Marseille | Draw | Nice |
58.11% ( 0.07) | 22.92% ( -0) | 18.97% ( -0.07) |
Both teams to score 50.29% ( -0.12) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.23% ( -0.09) | 48.77% ( 0.09) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.13% ( -0.08) | 70.87% ( 0.08) |
Marseille Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.51% ( -0.01) | 16.49% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.79% ( -0.02) | 46.21% ( 0.01) |
Nice Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.23% ( -0.13) | 39.77% ( 0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.56% ( -0.12) | 76.44% ( 0.12) |
Score Analysis |
Marseille | Draw | Nice |
1-0 @ 11.82% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 10.65% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 9.82% ( -0) 3-0 @ 6.4% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 5.9% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.88% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.72% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.66% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.23% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.04% ( 0) 5-1 @ 0.96% ( -0) Other @ 2.03% Total : 58.11% | 1-1 @ 10.89% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.56% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 4.53% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.93% Total : 22.91% | 0-1 @ 6.05% ( 0) 1-2 @ 5.02% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 2.79% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.54% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.39% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.17% Total : 18.97% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 16 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 44 | 14 | 30 | 40 |
2 | Marseille | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 39 | 20 | 19 | 36 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 28 | 18 | 10 | 31 |
4 | Nice | 17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 35 | 23 | 12 | 30 |
5 | Lille | 17 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 28 |
6 | Lyon | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 29 | 22 | 7 | 28 |
7 | Lens | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 24 |
8 | Toulouse | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 24 |
9 | Brest | 17 | 7 | 1 | 9 | 26 | 30 | -4 | 22 |
10 | Auxerre | 17 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 24 | 26 | -2 | 21 |
11 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 28 | 28 | 0 | 20 |
12 | Reims | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 20 |
13 | Rennes | 17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 17 |
14 | NantesNantes | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 20 | 27 | -7 | 16 |
15 | Angers | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 16 |
16 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 16 | 5 | 1 | 10 | 15 | 35 | -20 | 16 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 16 | 4 | 0 | 12 | 12 | 34 | -22 | 12 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 16 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 15 | 39 | -24 | 9 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |