Ligue 1 | Gameweek 20
Jan 29, 2023 at 12pm UK
Stade Municipal du Ray
Nice1 - 0Lille
We said: Nice 1-2 Lille
Lille have really started to improve of late, going undefeated since the end of October, and so they should have enough about them to beat a side that have struggled to score goals for the majority of the season. David is likely to get on the scoresheet again, in what we expect will be a close game, given that both teams are in decent form. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 43.95%. A win for Nice had a probability of 29.57% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.89%) and 0-2 (8.01%). The likeliest Nice win was 1-0 (8.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Nice | Draw | Lille |
29.57% ( -0.2) | 26.48% ( 0.01) | 43.95% ( 0.18) |
| Both teams to score 50.73% ( -0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.22% ( -0.14) | 53.78% ( 0.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.75% ( -0.11) | 75.25% ( 0.11) |
| Nice Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.03% ( -0.22) | 32.96% ( 0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 30.45% ( -0.24) | 69.54% ( 0.24) |
| Lille Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.68% ( 0.03) | 24.32% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 41.29% ( 0.04) | 58.7% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
Nice 29.57%
Lille 43.94%
Draw 26.47%
| Nice | Draw | Lille |
| 1-0 @ 8.9% ( -0) 2-1 @ 6.98% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 4.94% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 2.58% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 1.83% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 1.83% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.52% Total : 29.57% | 1-1 @ 12.57% 0-0 @ 8.02% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 4.93% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.95% Total : 26.47% | 0-1 @ 11.33% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 8.89% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 8.01% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 4.19% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 3.78% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 2.33% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.48% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.34% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.6% Total : 43.94% |
How you voted: Nice vs Lille
Nice
22.8%Draw
22.8%Lille
54.4%79
Head to Head
Aug 31, 2022 8pm
May 14, 2022 8pm
May 1, 2021 8pm
Oct 25, 2020 4pm
Form Guide
