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Nice
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 21
Feb 11, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Allianz Riviera
Monaco

Nice
2 - 3
Monaco

Laborde (37' pen.), Guessand (74')
Lotomba (33'), Louchet (60'), Boudaoui (67'), Guessand (83'), Ndayishimiye (90+3')
Dante (54')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Zakaria (16', 50'), Golovin (77')
Kehrer (35'), Golovin (44'), Zakaria (83'), Akliouche (90+8')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Nice and Monaco, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Montpellier 1-4 Nice
Wednesday, February 7 at 7.30pm in Coupe de France
Last Game: Rouen 1-1 Monaco (6-5 pen.)
Thursday, February 8 at 7.45pm in Coupe de France

We said: Nice 1-0 Monaco

Losing to a third-tier side at the Coupe de France cannot be good for the confidence of the Principality club, who are in a slump domestically and, outside of Ben Yedder, are struggling to score consistently. Nice are an intimidating defensive force to deal with at home, with a keeper who may have a psychological edge on the Monegasque attackers given what transpired the last time these teams met when he saved two penalties. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nice win with a probability of 45.49%. A win for Monaco had a probability of 29.39% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nice win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.22%) and 2-0 (7.71%). The likeliest Monaco win was 0-1 (7.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.9%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.

Result
NiceDrawMonaco
45.49% (-0.259 -0.26) 25.12% (-0.117 -0.12) 29.39% (0.37 0.37)
Both teams to score 54.92% (0.603 0.6)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.71% (0.684 0.68)48.28% (-0.689 -0.69)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.56% (0.623 0.62)70.43% (-0.627 -0.63)
Nice Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.75% (0.16500000000001 0.17)21.25% (-0.17 -0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.84% (0.259 0.26)54.16% (-0.263 -0.26)
Monaco Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.73% (0.61699999999999 0.62)30.26% (-0.623 -0.62)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.56% (0.734 0.73)66.43% (-0.73999999999999 -0.74)
Score Analysis
    Nice 45.49%
    Monaco 29.39%
    Draw 25.11%
NiceDrawMonaco
1-0 @ 9.96% (-0.231 -0.23)
2-1 @ 9.22% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.71% (-0.14 -0.14)
3-1 @ 4.76% (0.02 0.02)
3-0 @ 3.98% (-0.051 -0.05)
3-2 @ 2.85% (0.06 0.06)
4-1 @ 1.84% (0.017 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.54% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.1% (0.029 0.03)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 45.49%
1-1 @ 11.9% (-0.07 -0.07)
0-0 @ 6.43% (-0.185 -0.19)
2-2 @ 5.51% (0.089 0.09)
3-3 @ 1.13% (0.043 0.04)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.11%
0-1 @ 7.69% (-0.086 -0.09)
1-2 @ 7.11% (0.078 0.08)
0-2 @ 4.59% (0.027 0.03)
1-3 @ 2.84% (0.079 0.08)
2-3 @ 2.2% (0.072 0.07)
0-3 @ 1.83% (0.042 0.04)
Other @ 3.14%
Total : 29.39%

How you voted: Nice vs Monaco

Nice
59.8%
Draw
26.8%
Monaco
13.4%
82
Head to Head
Sep 22, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 6
Monaco
0-1
Nice

Golovin (72')
Boga (90+1')
Ndayishimiye (56')
Feb 26, 2023 4.05pm
Gameweek 25
Monaco
0-3
Nice
Moffi (8', 26'), Thuram (43')
Sep 4, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 6
Nice
0-1
Monaco

Rosario (50'), Lotomba (90+3')
Embolo (69')
Camara (38')
Apr 20, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 33
Monaco
1-0
Nice
Golovin (45+2')
Tchouameni (45'), Disasi (52'), Martins (71'), Golovin (78'), Vanderson (81')

Daniliuc (42'), Thuram (86')
Sep 19, 2021 12pm
Gameweek 6
Nice
2-2
Monaco
Delort (51'), Boudaoui (73')
Atal (58'), Dante (87')
Golovin (39'), Ben Yedder (77' pen.)
Badiashile (81'), Diop (89'), Sidibe (90+1')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CParis Saint-GermainPSG312010176294770
2MonacoMonaco32187762422061
3Brest32169749331657
4Lille311510645271855
5Nice31149836251151
6Lens32147114234849
7Rennes32129115143845
8Marseille31111194738944
9Lyon31135134251-944
10Montpellier HSCMontpellier321011114144-340
11Toulouse321010123942-340
12Reims31117133845-740
13StrasbourgStrasbourg3299143547-1236
14NantesNantes3296172949-2033
15Le HavreLe Havre32711143342-932
16Metz3285193454-2029
17Lorient3268183763-2626
18Clermont32510172654-2825


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