Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 41.31%. A win for Nice had a probability of 33.71% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.79%) and 2-0 (6.61%). The likeliest Nice win was 1-2 (7.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.74%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Monaco | Draw | Nice |
41.31% ( -0.18) | 24.98% ( -0.03) | 33.71% ( 0.21) |
Both teams to score 57.32% ( 0.18) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.99% ( 0.2) | 46.01% ( -0.2) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.69% ( 0.19) | 68.31% ( -0.19) |
Monaco Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.78% ( 0) | 22.22% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.35% ( 0) | 55.64% ( -0) |
Nice Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.69% ( 0.23) | 26.3% ( -0.23) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.56% ( 0.3) | 61.43% ( -0.3) |
Score Analysis |
Monaco | Draw | Nice |
2-1 @ 8.83% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 8.79% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 6.61% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 4.43% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.32% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.96% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.67% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.25% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.11% ( 0) Other @ 2.36% Total : 41.31% | 1-1 @ 11.74% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.9% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 5.85% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 1.32% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.98% | 1-2 @ 7.84% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 7.81% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 5.21% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 3.49% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 2.62% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 2.32% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.17% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.26% Total : 33.71% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 31 | 20 | 10 | 1 | 76 | 29 | 47 | 70 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 32 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 62 | 42 | 20 | 61 |
3 | Brest | 32 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 49 | 33 | 16 | 57 |
4 | Lille | 31 | 15 | 10 | 6 | 45 | 27 | 18 | 55 |
5 | Nice | 31 | 14 | 9 | 8 | 36 | 25 | 11 | 51 |
6 | Lens | 32 | 14 | 7 | 11 | 42 | 34 | 8 | 49 |
7 | Rennes | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 51 | 43 | 8 | 45 |
8 | Marseille | 31 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 47 | 38 | 9 | 44 |
9 | Lyon | 31 | 13 | 5 | 13 | 42 | 51 | -9 | 44 |
10 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 32 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 41 | 44 | -3 | 40 |
11 | Toulouse | 32 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 39 | 42 | -3 | 40 |
12 | Reims | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 38 | 45 | -7 | 40 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 32 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 35 | 47 | -12 | 36 |
14 | NantesNantes | 32 | 9 | 6 | 17 | 29 | 49 | -20 | 33 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 32 | 7 | 11 | 14 | 33 | 42 | -9 | 32 |
16 | Metz | 32 | 8 | 5 | 19 | 34 | 54 | -20 | 29 |
17 | Lorient | 32 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 37 | 63 | -26 | 26 |
18 | Clermont | 32 | 5 | 10 | 17 | 26 | 54 | -28 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |