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Ligue 1
Toulouse
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 17
Dec 20, 2023 at 8pm UK
Stadium de Toulouse (Toulouse)
Monaco

Toulouse
1 - 2
Monaco

Magri (5')
Costa (45+3'), Donnum (52')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Ben Yedder (26', 44' pen.)
Salisu (3'), Hutter (4'), Diop (57'), Magassa (66')
Golovin (51')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Ligue 1 clash between Toulouse and Monaco, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Toulouse

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Toulouse 0-0 Rennes
Sunday, December 17 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Monaco

All competitions
Last Game: Monaco 0-1 Lyon
Friday, December 15 at 8pm in Ligue 1

We said: Toulouse 1-2 Monaco

 Monaco are much more dynamic with Golovin in the fold, and his presence should reinvigorate them in midweek, while Les Monegasques have followed up every defeat this season with a victory. Playing in Europe seems to impact Toulouse domestically, with Le Tefece lacking imagination during their Ligue 1 affairs, perhaps due to fatigue with a much more demanding schedule than they are used to. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 39.32%. A win for Toulouse had a probability of 36.11% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.96%) and 0-2 (6%). The likeliest Toulouse win was 2-1 (8.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Monaco in this match.

Result
ToulouseDrawMonaco
36.11% (0.039000000000001 0.04) 24.56% (-0.0010000000000012 -0) 39.32% (-0.038000000000004 -0.04)
Both teams to score 59.27% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.32% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)43.67% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.93% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)66.06% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Toulouse Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.16% (0.024000000000001 0.02)23.84% (-0.025000000000002 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.98% (0.034999999999997 0.03)58.02% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
Monaco Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.82% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)22.17% (0.014999999999997 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.42% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)55.57% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Toulouse 36.11%
    Monaco 39.32%
    Draw 24.56%
ToulouseDrawMonaco
2-1 @ 8.19% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-0 @ 7.58% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-0 @ 5.43% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.91% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.95% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 2.6% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 1.4% (0.0029999999999999 0)
4-2 @ 1.06% (0.002 0)
4-0 @ 0.93% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 36.11%
1-1 @ 11.41%
2-2 @ 6.16% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-0 @ 5.29% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-3 @ 1.48%
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 24.56%
1-2 @ 8.6% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
0-1 @ 7.96% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
0-2 @ 6% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
1-3 @ 4.32% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-3 @ 3.1% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 3.01% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-4 @ 1.63% (-0.002 -0)
2-4 @ 1.17% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-4 @ 1.13% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 39.32%

How you voted: Toulouse vs Monaco

Toulouse
18.9%
Draw
11.3%
Monaco
69.8%
53
Head to Head
Jun 3, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 38
Monaco
1-2
Toulouse
Ben Yedder (78')
Aguilar (12')
Aboukhlal (70'), Healey (90+4')
Sierro (58'), Healey (90+5')
> Preview
Nov 6, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 14
Toulouse
0-2
Monaco
Golovin (46'), Embolo (60')
> Preview
May 16, 2020 7pm
Gameweek 37
Monaco
P-P
Toulouse
Dec 4, 2019 6pm
Gameweek 16
Toulouse
1-2
Monaco
Sanogo (40' pen.)
Ben Yedder (5' pen.), Martins (84')
Glik (39')
Feb 2, 2019 7pm
Gameweek 23
Monaco
2-1
Toulouse
Golovin (15'), Fabregas (62')
Ballo-Toure (9'), Jemerson (90')
Jullien (20')
Gradel (45'), Diakite (50'), Sylla (60')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG16124044143040
2Marseille1593332181430
3MonacoMonaco1693426161030
4Lille1576225151027
5Lyon157442720725
6Nice156632819924
7Lens156631914524
8Auxerre156362323021
9Toulouse156361717021
10Reims155552018220
11Brest156182427-319
12Rennes155282020017
13StrasbourgStrasbourg154562527-217
14NantesNantes153571724-714
15Angers153481426-1213
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne1541101234-2213
17Le HavreLe Havre1540111129-1812
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier1523101538-239
> Ligue 1 Full Table


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