PSG4 - 3Lille
The Match
Match Report
Team News
Preview
Predicted Lineups
Form, Standings, Stats
Tuesday, February 14 at 8pm in Champions League
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 56.62%. A win for Lille had a probability of 22.16% and a draw had a probability of 21.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.06%) and 1-0 (7.88%). The likeliest Lille win was 1-2 (5.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.54%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Paris Saint-Germain | Draw | Lille |
56.62% ( 0.23) | 21.21% ( 0) | 22.16% ( -0.23) |
| Both teams to score 61.13% ( -0.35) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.17% ( -0.31) | 36.83% ( 0.31) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.99% ( -0.34) | 59% ( 0.34) |
| Paris Saint-Germain Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.06% ( -0.04) | 12.94% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 60.6% ( -0.07) | 39.39% ( 0.07) |
| Lille Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.21% ( -0.38) | 29.79% ( 0.37) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 34.14% ( -0.46) | 65.86% ( 0.45) |
| Score Analysis |
| Paris Saint-Germain | Draw | Lille |
| 2-1 @ 9.76% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 8.06% ( 0.1)1-0 @ 7.88% ( 0.11)3-1 @ 6.65% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 5.49% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 4.03% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 3.4% ( -0)4-0 @ 2.81% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 2.06% ( -0.02)5-1 @ 1.39% ( -0)5-0 @ 1.15% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.94% Total : 56.62% | 1-1 @ 9.54% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.91% ( -0.05)0-0 @ 3.85% ( 0.06)3-3 @ 1.63% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.28% Total : 21.21% | 1-2 @ 5.78% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 4.67% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 2.83% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.39% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 2.33% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.03% Total : 22.16% |
