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Ligue 1
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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 24
Feb 19, 2023 at 12pm UK
Parc des Princes
Lille

PSG
4 - 3
Lille

Mbappe (11', 87'), Neymar (17'), Messi (90+5')
Verratti (56'), Mbappe (77'), Galtier (90+90')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Diakite (24'), David (58' pen.), Bamba (69')
Diakite (45'), Bamba (63'), David (89'), Andre (90+3')

The Match

Match Report

Lionel Messi scores a 95th-minute free kick to rescue a topsy-turvy 4-3 victory for Paris Saint-Germain against Lille, after they had earlier blown a 2-0 lead.

Team News

Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Paris Saint-Germain and Lille.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Paris Saint-Germain and Lille, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Paris Saint-Germain could line up for Sunday's Ligue 1 clash with Lille.

Form, Standings, Stats

Paris Saint-Germain

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: PSG 0-1 Bayern
Tuesday, February 14 at 8pm in Champions League

Lille

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Lille 2-0 Strasbourg
Sunday, February 12 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 56.62%. A win for Lille had a probability of 22.16% and a draw had a probability of 21.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.06%) and 1-0 (7.88%). The likeliest Lille win was 1-2 (5.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.54%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.

Result
Paris Saint-GermainDrawLille
56.62% (0.229 0.23) 21.21% (0.0019999999999989 0) 22.16% (-0.234 -0.23)
Both teams to score 61.13% (-0.35299999999999 -0.35)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.17% (-0.315 -0.31)36.83% (0.311 0.31)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.99% (-0.342 -0.34)59% (0.33900000000001 0.34)
Paris Saint-Germain Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.06% (-0.036999999999992 -0.04)12.94% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.6% (-0.074000000000005 -0.07)39.39% (0.069000000000003 0.07)
Lille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.21% (-0.378 -0.38)29.79% (0.374 0.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.14% (-0.458 -0.46)65.86% (0.45399999999999 0.45)
Score Analysis
    Paris Saint-Germain 56.62%
    Lille 22.16%
    Draw 21.21%
Paris Saint-GermainDrawLille
2-1 @ 9.76% (0.022 0.02)
2-0 @ 8.06% (0.102 0.1)
1-0 @ 7.88% (0.11 0.11)
3-1 @ 6.65% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-0 @ 5.49% (0.062 0.06)
3-2 @ 4.03% (-0.038 -0.04)
4-1 @ 3.4% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-0 @ 2.81% (0.029 0.03)
4-2 @ 2.06% (-0.022 -0.02)
5-1 @ 1.39% (-0.002 -0)
5-0 @ 1.15% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 3.94%
Total : 56.62%
1-1 @ 9.54% (0.034000000000001 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.91% (-0.048 -0.05)
0-0 @ 3.85% (0.058 0.06)
3-3 @ 1.63% (-0.033 -0.03)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 21.21%
1-2 @ 5.78% (-0.039 -0.04)
0-1 @ 4.67% (0.023 0.02)
0-2 @ 2.83% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.39% (-0.044 -0.04)
1-3 @ 2.33% (-0.041 -0.04)
0-3 @ 1.14% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 22.16%

How you voted: PSG vs Lille

Paris Saint-Germain
86.0%
Draw
8.7%
Lille
5.2%
172
Head to Head
Aug 21, 2022 7.45pm
Lille
1-7
PSG
Bamba (54')
Andre (39'), David (83')
Mbappe (1', 66', 87'), Messi (27'), Hakimi (39'), Neymar (43', 52')
Ramos (34')
Feb 6, 2022 7.45pm
Lille
1-5
PSG
Botman (28')
Celik (75'), Bradaric (83')
Pereira (10', 51'), Kimpembe (32'), Messi (38'), Mbappe (67')
Paredes (45+1')
Oct 29, 2021 8pm
PSG
2-1
Lille
Marquinhos (74'), Di Maria (88')
Neymar (86')
David (31')
Mandava (5'), Yilmaz (36'), Sanches (57'), Celik (63'), Grbic (85')
Aug 1, 2021 7pm
Final
Lille
1-0
PSG
Xeka (45')
Araujo (78'), Jardim (90+2')

Kehrer (30'), Diallo (52'), Draxler (84'), Pereira (90+3')
Apr 3, 2021 4pm
PSG
0-1
Lille

Paredes (17'), Gueye (19'), Neymar (48'), Diallo (57'), Mbappe (85')
Neymar (90')
David (20')
Fonte (4'), Djalo (36'), Andre (87')
Djalo (90+1')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG17134046153143
2Marseille17113339201936
3MonacoMonaco1794428181031
4Nice1786335231230
5Lille1778226161029
6Lyon178452922728
7Lens177642116527
8Toulouse177371919024
9StrasbourgStrasbourg176563029123
10Auxerre176472426-222
11Brest177192630-422
12Reims175572325-220
13Angers175481927-819
14Rennes1752102325-217
15NantesNantes173772027-716
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne1751111637-2116
17Le HavreLe Havre1740131336-2312
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier1723121642-269
> Ligue 1 Full Table


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