Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 61.35%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Monaco had a probability of 19.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.96%) and 3-1 (7.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.45%), while for a Monaco win it was 1-2 (5.1%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.
Result | ||
Paris Saint-Germain | Draw | Monaco |
61.35% ( -0) | 19.44% ( 0) | 19.21% ( 0) |
Both teams to score 62.86% ( -0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
67.53% ( -0) | 32.47% ( 0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
45.89% ( -0) | 54.11% ( 0) |
Paris Saint-Germain Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.7% ( -0) | 10.3% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
66.29% ( -0) | 33.71% ( 0) |
Monaco Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.08% | 29.92% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.97% ( 0) | 66.03% |
Score Analysis |
Paris Saint-Germain | Draw | Monaco |
2-1 @ 9.61% 2-0 @ 7.96% 3-1 @ 7.28% ( -0) 1-0 @ 7.01% 3-0 @ 6.03% ( -0) 3-2 @ 4.39% 4-1 @ 4.14% 4-0 @ 3.43% 4-2 @ 2.5% 5-1 @ 1.88% 5-0 @ 1.56% 5-2 @ 1.13% 4-3 @ 1% Other @ 3.44% Total : 61.35% | 1-1 @ 8.45% 2-2 @ 5.8% 0-0 @ 3.08% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.77% Other @ 0.34% Total : 19.44% | 1-2 @ 5.1% ( 0) 0-1 @ 3.72% 2-3 @ 2.33% 0-2 @ 2.24% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.05% 0-3 @ 0.9% Other @ 2.86% Total : 19.21% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 16 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 44 | 14 | 30 | 40 |
2 | Marseille | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 32 | 18 | 14 | 30 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 30 |
4 | Lille | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 25 | 15 | 10 | 27 |
5 | Lyon | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 25 |
6 | Nice | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 24 |
7 | Lens | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 24 |
8 | Auxerre | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 21 |
9 | Toulouse | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 21 |
10 | Reims | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 20 |
11 | Brest | 15 | 6 | 1 | 8 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 19 |
12 | Rennes | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 17 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 25 | 27 | -2 | 17 |
14 | NantesNantes | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 14 |
15 | Angers | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 13 |
16 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 15 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 12 | 34 | -22 | 13 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 15 | 4 | 0 | 11 | 11 | 29 | -18 | 12 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 15 | 38 | -23 | 9 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |