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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 13
Nov 24, 2023 at 8pm UK
Parc des Princes
Monaco

PSG
5 - 2
Monaco

Ramos (18'), Mbappe (39' pen.), Dembele (70'), Vitinha (72'), Kolo (90+6')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Minamino (22'), Balogun (75')
Singo (59')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Ligue 1 clash between Paris Saint-Germain and Monaco, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Le Havre 0-0 Monaco
Saturday, November 11 at 8pm in Ligue 1

We said: Paris Saint-Germain 2-0 Monaco

With Ben Yedder struggling to replicate his early-season form and concerns over Balogun and Minamino's late arrivals back to the Principality, another joyless and scoreless outing on the road could await Monaco on Friday. PSG's midfield certainly has a more depleted look to it, and the champions are not without their own international break-related concerns, but Les Parisiens have re-fortified the Parc des Princes and should extend their lead at the top with a professional performance. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 61.35%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Monaco had a probability of 19.21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.96%) and 3-1 (7.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.45%), while for a Monaco win it was 1-2 (5.1%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.

Result
Paris Saint-GermainDrawMonaco
61.35% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 19.44% (0.0010000000000012 0) 19.21% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Both teams to score 62.86% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.53% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)32.47% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.89% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)54.11% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Paris Saint-Germain Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.7% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)10.3% (0.0020000000000007 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.29% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)33.71% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Monaco Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.08%29.92%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.97% (0.00099999999999767 0)66.03%
Score Analysis
    Paris Saint-Germain 61.35%
    Monaco 19.21%
    Draw 19.44%
Paris Saint-GermainDrawMonaco
2-1 @ 9.61%
2-0 @ 7.96%
3-1 @ 7.28% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-0 @ 7.01%
3-0 @ 6.03% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-2 @ 4.39%
4-1 @ 4.14%
4-0 @ 3.43%
4-2 @ 2.5%
5-1 @ 1.88%
5-0 @ 1.56%
5-2 @ 1.13%
4-3 @ 1%
Other @ 3.44%
Total : 61.35%
1-1 @ 8.45%
2-2 @ 5.8%
0-0 @ 3.08% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 1.77%
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 19.44%
1-2 @ 5.1% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-1 @ 3.72%
2-3 @ 2.33%
0-2 @ 2.24% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-3 @ 2.05%
0-3 @ 0.9%
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 19.21%

How you voted: PSG vs Monaco

Paris Saint-Germain
83.8%
Draw
10.8%
Monaco
5.4%
74
Head to Head
Feb 11, 2023 4pm
Gameweek 23
Monaco
3-1
PSG
Golovin (4'), Ben Yedder (18', 45+2')
Aug 28, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 4
PSG
1-1
Monaco
Neymar (70' pen.)
Neymar (5'), Kimpembe (77'), Verratti (86'), Hakimi (90+4')
Volland (20')
Akliouche (40'), Camara (55'), Badiashile (90+1'), Henrique (90+5')
Mar 20, 2022 12pm
Gameweek 29
Monaco
3-0
PSG
Ben Yedder (25', 84' pen.), Volland (68')
Martins (30'), Volland (65'), Tchouameni (74')

Mbappe (52'), Neymar (53'), Kimpembe (81')
Dec 12, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 18
PSG
2-0
Monaco
Mbappe (12' pen., 45')
Mbappe (19'), Gueye (74'), Verratti (89')

Sidibe (11'), Fofana (17'), Maripan (63'), Martins (73')
May 19, 2021 8.15pm
Final
Monaco
0-2
PSG
Icardi (19'), Mbappe (81')
Marquinhos (86')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG16124044143040
2Marseille1593332181430
3MonacoMonaco1693426161030
4Lille1576225151027
5Lyon157442720725
6Nice156632819924
7Lens156631914524
8Auxerre156362323021
9Toulouse156361717021
10Reims155552018220
11Brest156182427-319
12Rennes155282020017
13StrasbourgStrasbourg154562527-217
14NantesNantes153571724-714
15Angers153481426-1213
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne1541101234-2213
17Le HavreLe Havre1540111129-1812
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier1523101538-239


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