Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 61.35%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Monaco had a probability of 19.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.96%) and 3-1 (7.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.45%), while for a Monaco win it was 1-2 (5.1%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.
Result | ||
Paris Saint-Germain | Draw | Monaco |
61.35% ( -0) | 19.44% ( 0) | 19.21% ( 0) |
Both teams to score 62.86% ( -0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
67.53% ( -0) | 32.47% ( 0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
45.89% ( -0) | 54.11% ( 0) |
Paris Saint-Germain Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.7% ( -0) | 10.3% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
66.29% ( -0) | 33.71% ( 0) |
Monaco Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.08% | 29.92% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.97% ( 0) | 66.03% |
Score Analysis |
Paris Saint-Germain | Draw | Monaco |
2-1 @ 9.61% 2-0 @ 7.96% 3-1 @ 7.28% ( -0) 1-0 @ 7.01% 3-0 @ 6.03% ( -0) 3-2 @ 4.39% 4-1 @ 4.14% 4-0 @ 3.43% 4-2 @ 2.5% 5-1 @ 1.88% 5-0 @ 1.56% 5-2 @ 1.13% 4-3 @ 1% Other @ 3.44% Total : 61.35% | 1-1 @ 8.45% 2-2 @ 5.8% 0-0 @ 3.08% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.77% Other @ 0.34% Total : 19.44% | 1-2 @ 5.1% ( 0) 0-1 @ 3.72% 2-3 @ 2.33% 0-2 @ 2.24% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.05% 0-3 @ 0.9% Other @ 2.86% Total : 19.21% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 31 | 20 | 10 | 1 | 76 | 29 | 47 | 70 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 32 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 62 | 42 | 20 | 61 |
3 | Brest | 32 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 49 | 33 | 16 | 57 |
4 | Lille | 31 | 15 | 10 | 6 | 45 | 27 | 18 | 55 |
5 | Nice | 31 | 14 | 9 | 8 | 36 | 25 | 11 | 51 |
6 | Lens | 32 | 14 | 7 | 11 | 42 | 34 | 8 | 49 |
7 | Rennes | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 51 | 43 | 8 | 45 |
8 | Marseille | 31 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 47 | 38 | 9 | 44 |
9 | Lyon | 31 | 13 | 5 | 13 | 42 | 51 | -9 | 44 |
10 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 32 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 41 | 44 | -3 | 40 |
11 | Toulouse | 32 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 39 | 42 | -3 | 40 |
12 | Reims | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 38 | 45 | -7 | 40 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 32 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 35 | 47 | -12 | 36 |
14 | NantesNantes | 32 | 9 | 6 | 17 | 29 | 49 | -20 | 33 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 32 | 7 | 11 | 14 | 33 | 42 | -9 | 32 |
16 | Metz | 32 | 8 | 5 | 19 | 34 | 54 | -20 | 29 |
17 | Lorient | 32 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 37 | 63 | -26 | 26 |
18 | Clermont | 32 | 5 | 10 | 17 | 26 | 54 | -28 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |