Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 40.73%. A win for Reims had a probability of 35.04% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.77%) and 0-2 (6.09%). The likeliest Reims win was 2-1 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Monaco would win this match.
Result | ||
Reims | Draw | Monaco |
35.04% ( -0.21) | 24.23% ( 0.06) | 40.73% ( 0.14) |
Both teams to score 60.33% ( -0.27) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.77% ( -0.33) | 42.23% ( 0.32) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.36% ( -0.33) | 64.63% ( 0.33) |
Reims Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.24% ( -0.27) | 23.76% ( 0.26) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.1% ( -0.38) | 57.9% ( 0.38) |
Monaco Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.12% ( -0.08) | 20.87% ( 0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.42% ( -0.12) | 53.57% ( 0.11) |
Score Analysis |
Reims | Draw | Monaco |
2-1 @ 8.03% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 7.13% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 5.12% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.85% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 3.01% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 2.45% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.38% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.08% ( -0.02) Other @ 3% Total : 35.04% | 1-1 @ 11.16% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 6.29% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 4.96% ( 0.07) 3-3 @ 1.57% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.24% Total : 24.22% | 1-2 @ 8.75% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 7.77% ( 0.09) 0-2 @ 6.09% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 4.57% ( 0) 2-3 @ 3.28% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 3.18% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.79% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.29% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.25% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.78% Total : 40.73% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 31 | 20 | 10 | 1 | 76 | 29 | 47 | 70 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 32 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 62 | 42 | 20 | 61 |
3 | Brest | 32 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 49 | 33 | 16 | 57 |
4 | Lille | 31 | 15 | 10 | 6 | 45 | 27 | 18 | 55 |
5 | Nice | 31 | 14 | 9 | 8 | 36 | 25 | 11 | 51 |
6 | Lens | 32 | 14 | 7 | 11 | 42 | 34 | 8 | 49 |
7 | Rennes | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 51 | 43 | 8 | 45 |
8 | Marseille | 31 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 47 | 38 | 9 | 44 |
9 | Lyon | 31 | 13 | 5 | 13 | 42 | 51 | -9 | 44 |
10 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 32 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 41 | 44 | -3 | 40 |
11 | Toulouse | 32 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 39 | 42 | -3 | 40 |
12 | Reims | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 38 | 45 | -7 | 40 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 32 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 35 | 47 | -12 | 36 |
14 | NantesNantes | 32 | 9 | 6 | 17 | 29 | 49 | -20 | 33 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 32 | 7 | 11 | 14 | 33 | 42 | -9 | 32 |
16 | Metz | 32 | 8 | 5 | 19 | 34 | 54 | -20 | 29 |
17 | Lorient | 32 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 37 | 63 | -26 | 26 |
18 | Clermont | 32 | 5 | 10 | 17 | 26 | 54 | -28 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |