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Ligue 1
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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 13
Oct 29, 2022 at 4pm UK
Parc des Princes
Troyes

PSG
4 - 3
Troyes

Soler (24'), Messi (55'), Neymar (62'), Mbappe (77' pen.)
FT(HT: 1-1)
Balde (3', 52'), Palaversa (88')
Porozo (59'), Gallon (75'), Lopes (78')

The Match

Team News

Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Paris Saint-Germain and Troyes.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Paris Saint-Germain and Troyes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Paris Saint-Germain could line up for Saturday's Ligue 1 clash with Troyes.

Form, Standings, Stats

Paris Saint-Germain

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: PSG 7-2 Maccabi Haifa
Tuesday, October 25 at 8pm in Champions League

Troyes

All competitions
Last Game: Troyes 2-2 Lorient
Sunday, October 23 at 2pm in Ligue 1

We said: Paris Saint-Germain 4-0 Troyes

 One must give credit where credit is due to Troyes after holding Lorient to just a point last weekend, but both of their goals came from defensive errors, and PSG should not give much change away in that regard. A back five from the visitors could serve to frustrate the champions a tad, but the Messi, Mbappe and Neymar trident should be up to their old tricks to steer PSG to a routine win on home soil. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 86.96%. A draw had a probability of 9% and a win for Troyes had a probability of 4.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 3-0 with a probability of 11.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.89%) and 4-0 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.2%), while for a Troyes win it was 1-2 (1.32%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.

Result
Paris Saint-GermainDrawTroyes
86.96% (1.146 1.15) 8.96% (-0.7631 -0.76) 4.07% (-0.38 -0.38)
Both teams to score 44.85% (0.607 0.61)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
74.46% (2.268 2.27)25.54% (-2.266 -2.27)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
54.38% (2.884 2.88)45.62% (-2.882 -2.88)
Paris Saint-Germain Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
96.15% (0.557 0.56)3.85% (-0.555 -0.56)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
83.61% (1.772 1.77)16.39% (-1.77 -1.77)
Troyes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
46.65% (0.363 0.36)53.35% (-0.361 -0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
13.13% (0.229 0.23)86.87% (-0.227 -0.23)
Score Analysis
    Paris Saint-Germain 86.95%
    Troyes 4.07%
    Draw 8.96%
Paris Saint-GermainDrawTroyes
3-0 @ 11.82% (-0.18 -0.18)
2-0 @ 10.89% (-0.64 -0.64)
4-0 @ 9.63% (0.26 0.26)
3-1 @ 7.43% (-0.029 -0.03)
2-1 @ 6.85% (-0.323 -0.32)
1-0 @ 6.69% (-0.697 -0.7)
5-0 @ 6.27% (0.421 0.42)
4-1 @ 6.05% (0.227 0.23)
5-1 @ 3.94% (0.304 0.3)
6-0 @ 3.41% (0.36 0.36)
3-2 @ 2.34% (0.016 0.02)
6-1 @ 2.14% (0.247 0.25)
4-2 @ 1.9% (0.091 0.09)
7-0 @ 1.59% (0.226 0.23)
5-2 @ 1.24% (0.108 0.11)
7-1 @ 1% (0.151 0.15)
Other @ 3.77%
Total : 86.95%
1-1 @ 4.2% (-0.388 -0.39)
2-2 @ 2.15% (-0.077 -0.08)
0-0 @ 2.05% (-0.312 -0.31)
Other @ 0.56%
Total : 8.96%
1-2 @ 1.32% (-0.107 -0.11)
0-1 @ 1.29% (-0.179 -0.18)
Other @ 1.46%
Total : 4.07%

How you voted: PSG vs Troyes

Paris Saint-Germain
96.1%
Draw
2.9%
Troyes
1.0%
103
Head to Head
May 8, 2022 7.45pm
PSG
2-2
Troyes
Marquinhos (6'), Neymar (25' pen.)
Neymar (66')
Ugbo (30'), Tardieu (49' pen.)
Ripart (66'), Kouame (82')
Aug 7, 2021 8pm
Troyes
1-2
PSG
El Hajjam (9')
Kone (89')
Hakimi (19'), Icardi (21')
Kimpembe (33'), Hakimi (45'), Icardi (70'), Sarabia (90+1')
Mar 3, 2018 4pm
Troyes
0-2
PSG

Hyun-Jun (36'), Azamoum (55'), Zelazny (78')
Di Maria (47'), Nkunku (77')
Diarra (67')
Nov 29, 2017 8pm
PSG
2-0
Troyes
Neymar (73'), Cavani (90')

Niane (60')
Mar 13, 2016 1pm
Troyes
0-9
PSG

Karaboue (74')
Cavani (13', 75'), Pastore (17'), Rabiot (19'), Ibrahimovic (46', 52', 56', 89'), Saunier (58' og.)
> Match Report
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG16124044143040
2Marseille17113339201936
3MonacoMonaco1794428181031
4Nice1786335231230
5Lille1777226161028
6Lyon178452922728
7Lens166641915424
8Toulouse167361817124
9Brest177192630-422
10Auxerre176372426-221
11StrasbourgStrasbourg165562828020
12Reims175572325-220
13Rennes1752102325-217
14NantesNantes173772027-716
15Angers164481626-1016
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne1651101535-2016
17Le HavreLe Havre1640121234-2212
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier1623111539-249
> Ligue 1 Full Table


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