Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 43.76%. A win for Nantes had a probability of 30.85% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.05%) and 0-2 (7.41%). The likeliest Nantes win was 1-0 (8.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.04%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Nantes | Draw | Monaco |
30.85% ( 1.62) | 25.39% ( 0.32) | 43.76% ( -1.94) |
Both teams to score 54.82% ( -0.15) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.22% ( -0.61) | 48.77% ( 0.6) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.12% ( -0.55) | 70.88% ( 0.55) |
Nantes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.5% ( 0.82) | 29.49% ( -0.83) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.49% ( 0.99) | 65.51% ( -1) |
Monaco Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.75% ( -1.14) | 22.24% ( 1.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.32% ( -1.74) | 55.68% ( 1.73) |
Score Analysis |
Nantes | Draw | Monaco |
1-0 @ 8.01% ( 0.37) 2-1 @ 7.35% ( 0.26) 2-0 @ 4.89% ( 0.33) 3-1 @ 2.99% ( 0.17) 3-2 @ 2.25% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 1.99% ( 0.18) 4-1 @ 0.91% ( 0.07) Other @ 2.45% Total : 30.85% | 1-1 @ 12.04% ( 0.16) 0-0 @ 6.56% ( 0.16) 2-2 @ 5.52% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.13% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.39% | 0-1 @ 9.86% ( -0.09) 1-2 @ 9.05% ( -0.19) 0-2 @ 7.41% ( -0.33) 1-3 @ 4.53% ( -0.26) 0-3 @ 3.71% ( -0.3) 2-3 @ 2.77% ( -0.09) 1-4 @ 1.7% ( -0.16) 0-4 @ 1.4% ( -0.17) 2-4 @ 1.04% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.28% Total : 43.76% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 18 | 14 | 4 | 0 | 48 | 16 | 32 | 46 |
2 | Marseille | 18 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 40 | 21 | 19 | 37 |
3 | Lille | 18 | 8 | 8 | 2 | 28 | 17 | 11 | 32 |
4 | MonacoMonaco | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 29 | 20 | 9 | 31 |
5 | Nice | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 36 | 25 | 11 | 30 |
6 | Lyon | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 29 | 22 | 7 | 29 |
7 | Lens | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 27 |
8 | Toulouse | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 25 |
9 | Brest | 18 | 8 | 1 | 9 | 28 | 31 | -3 | 25 |
10 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 31 | 30 | 1 | 24 |
11 | Auxerre | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 24 | 28 | -4 | 22 |
12 | Angers | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 22 |
13 | Reims | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 24 | 26 | -2 | 21 |
14 | Rennes | 18 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 17 |
15 | NantesNantes | 18 | 3 | 8 | 7 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 17 |
16 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 18 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 17 | 38 | -21 | 17 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 18 | 4 | 1 | 13 | 14 | 37 | -23 | 13 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 18 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 18 | 43 | -25 | 12 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |