Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nice win with a probability of 45.69%. A win for Reims had a probability of 29.56% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nice win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.26%) and 0-2 (7.54%). The likeliest Reims win was 1-0 (7.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Nice would win this match.
Result | ||
Reims | Draw | Nice |
29.56% ( -0.28) | 24.76% ( 0.16) | 45.69% ( 0.12) |
Both teams to score 56.23% ( -0.7) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.38% ( -0.84) | 46.62% ( 0.84) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.11% ( -0.79) | 68.89% ( 0.79) |
Reims Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.7% ( -0.62) | 29.3% ( 0.61) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.74% ( -0.76) | 65.26% ( 0.76) |
Nice Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.53% ( -0.29) | 20.47% ( 0.29) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.06% ( -0.46) | 52.94% ( 0.46) |
Score Analysis |
Reims | Draw | Nice |
1-0 @ 7.36% ( 0.13) 2-1 @ 7.17% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 4.52% ( 0) 3-1 @ 2.93% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 2.33% ( -0.08) 3-0 @ 1.85% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 0.9% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.49% Total : 29.56% | 1-1 @ 11.67% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 6% ( 0.21) 2-2 @ 5.69% ( -0.1) 3-3 @ 1.23% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.75% | 0-1 @ 9.51% ( 0.25) 1-2 @ 9.26% ( 0) 0-2 @ 7.54% ( 0.13) 1-3 @ 4.9% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 3.99% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 3.01% ( -0.08) 1-4 @ 1.94% ( -0.03) 0-4 @ 1.58% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.19% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.77% Total : 45.69% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 20 | 15 | 5 | 0 | 54 | 19 | 35 | 50 |
2 | Marseille | 19 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 40 | 23 | 17 | 37 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 20 | 11 | 4 | 5 | 36 | 24 | 12 | 37 |
4 | Lille | 20 | 9 | 8 | 3 | 33 | 20 | 13 | 35 |
5 | Nice | 19 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 38 | 25 | 13 | 33 |
6 | Lens | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 25 | 18 | 7 | 33 |
7 | Lyon | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 30 | 23 | 7 | 30 |
8 | Brest | 20 | 9 | 1 | 10 | 31 | 36 | -5 | 28 |
9 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 33 | 31 | 2 | 27 |
10 | Toulouse | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 25 |
11 | Auxerre | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 27 | 33 | -6 | 23 |
12 | Reims | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 25 | 27 | -2 | 22 |
13 | Angers | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 22 |
14 | NantesNantes | 19 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 22 | 29 | -7 | 18 |
15 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 20 | 5 | 3 | 12 | 19 | 43 | -24 | 18 |
16 | Rennes | 19 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 26 | 30 | -4 | 17 |
17 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 20 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 20 | 46 | -26 | 15 |
18 | Le HavreLe Havre | 19 | 4 | 1 | 14 | 14 | 38 | -24 | 13 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |